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    Back to back 10am games

    Fair enough. Thanks!
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    Back to back 10am games

    As always, you make great points. A few quick responses, as trying to keep up on this on various teams sites, FO and the reddit pages has left me a little fatigued. The axis thing - agree to disagree? I can't believe I've discussed it as much as I have. Hearing well thought out arguments like...
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    Back to back 10am games

    Good stuff! A few comments: - The body clock effect is real. Therefore, there's no way the guy can "disprove" it by looking at 15 different years. I haven't looked at his data (I will) but really don't need to, the effect will be there. It's possible that in that era with no salary cap and thus...
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    Back to back 10am games

    Sorry for back to back to back posts, I had lots to respond to. Thanks for the kind words, guys. I mentioned the topic and the article on a few different message boards and you guys were the best combination of friendly and intelligent. (However, as a niner fan, I'll never admit as much...
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    Back to back 10am games

    From your first comment. I'm curious if a study has been done with east coast teams playing night games and what the results show. I would think playing a game starting at 8:30 est and ending at 11:30pm est favors west coast teams, no? Sorry for the confusion. Your first comment (highlighted...
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    Back to back 10am games

    Here it is, page 298, first paragraph. I contacted this guy when I was writing my first paper. Super nice fella from England (not relevant, but wanted to give the old guy a shout) http://www.entrepatients.net/sites/defa ... reilly.pdf
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    Back to back 10am games

    Thanks man, it's been a fun couple of days. And yeah, I made several changes that came directly from the feedback of this board, so thanks to all.
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    Back to back 10am games

    Sorry to beat this to death, but I promised a few of you that I'd keep you updated on my (possibly idiotic) quest to get the NFL to eliminate the 10am starts. Today football outsiders published an article that I wrote on the topic! If you're interested in reading, it's linked below. If you're...
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    Seahawks schedule leaked (SPOILERS INSIDE)

    Maybe the league realized how badly you guys got screwed in the playoffs. Glad you guys got spared this year. That said, I'm still working on publicizing the extent to which 10am games are unfair. I posted an article that I hope will be on Football Outsiders in the next few days, on reddit. If...
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    Back to back 10am games

    Thanks again, guys! Great feedback. I submitted the article just before seeing Jazz's reply, but appreciate the suggestions. And yeah, Wazzu02, you make a good point. I am lucky enough to have specifics on the changes made that you referenced and included them in one draft of the article, but...
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    Back to back 10am games

    Thanks for the feedback. People agree that this is an improvement?
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    Back to back 10am games

    I appreciate the skepticism. How would you have presented the data? Y-axis from 0 to 1? .5 to 1? Seem like that would obscure the (significant) result. Just curious - where do you teach? (I also work in academia) The delta in win percentage had a p-value on the order of .0001. I appreciate the...
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    Back to back 10am games

    "Well okay, you admit, but maybe Seattle should have gotten a higher seed to avoid playoff road games all together. Yes, a higher seed would have prevented the unfair situation from occurring in this instance, but why should certain teams have to overcome a systematic disadvantage exclusive to...
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    Back to back 10am games

    Hi Again Guys - Football Outsiders promised me an article on the "morning body clock" issue when the schedule comes out later this month (hopefully they keep their promise). Anyways, below is a draft of what I'm going to send. I figured I'd post it here to see if anyone has any feedback, and...
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    Back to back 10am games

    new rule: teams with a bird logo are required to play four regular season road games with only 10 players on all special teams plays. Additionally, these bird teams will occasionally be subject to the 10 man special team rule in playoff road games. Win the division, get homefield, and 10 man...
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    Back to back 10am games

    Given the physiological detriments (less back strength, reduced knee flexibility, etc) associated with 10am starts, I'd be shocked if there wasn't any correlation to injury. Alas, the league cited HIPAA violations when SF requested the injury data. From my prior work in healthcare, I know the...
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    10am starts question.

    Thanks man! You guys have been super friendly and very interesting to converse with. I'm glad I stumbled across this place.
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    Back to back 10am games

    Thanks for reading! I'm surprised that you're okay with 10am games at all. Maybe I didn't do a good job of showing how much of a disadvantage they imply. One way you can look at it is to note that the 3 point disadvantage that they cost the road team is more than the loss of any single non-QB...
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    10am starts question.

    I appreciate you bringing statistics, but I don't think any of those samples are large enough to be anything other than anecdotal. I've studied this topic in depth. 10am starts are a large disadvantage. This is not surprising when you understand the physiology behind it (called chronobiology)...
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    Back to back 10am games

    SF has been in contact with west coast teams about this issue for the past few years. If I understand correctly, they may have shared the exact article that I linked above this year.

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