Definitely no on 2nd round.
Basically, the way this draft is shaping up -- we should be able to get 4 starter quality players with our top 4 picks. That's based on the positions on our team that are upgradeable and the expected quality prospects at each of those positions.
Seattle could get two interior starters (improvements over Britt, Lewis or Sweezy's replacement) with both our 3rd round picks. Guys that literally should be better day one than what we have
Those picks are important.
The second round is pretty much where we have any realistic expectation to get a situational contributor at DT. Any later (R4+) and we're probably looking at PS types or guys that will be the 9th guy on the chart -- conceding playing time to Dobbs et al.
Seattle's defense was severely hampered by the absence of Hill's/McDonald's situational production in the pass rush. There are some guys that can provide that. Hill could also provide that. But right now we're left to wonder which year was the outlier? 2014 with 5 sacks. Or 2015 with 0 sacks. We can't leave it to just hope that he rebounds.
There are guys that will fill that void at 56.
Obviously the first round pick should be OT. It's a position that we've basically been trying to fill since 2011. And given all the drafts since then -- the supply of alpha talent for that position is almost universally acquired by pick 20 in every draft. This year is an anomaly -- there is talent that should still be there to the very end of R1.
Need and availability intersect in a rare way. Incredibly stupid if we don't take advantage of this rare economy of talent.
So I would definitely not advise taking on that risk before R4. There is just too much starter quality talent to be had in this otherwise weak draft. We are fortunate that our specific needs mirror almost perfectly the actual talent pool as well as how it generally looks to fall out position wise.
Sticking to the board and need -- this could be 2012 all over again for us. Jumping the shark and trying to be cute -- and we could Dion Jordan our draft pretty easily.