ivotuk
Well-known member
It's hard to say just how effective they are, or what the final result of some of them will be, but from what I've been reading, the only draft pick trades that seem to pan out:
1. Trading away a team's current player for a high round pick
2. Trading up a couple of spots to get a player you've ranked REALLY REALLY highly (Jarran Reed)
3. Trading down and getting extra picks out of it (more so than #2)
4. Trading away next year's pick for any reason because it has less value than a pick in the exact same spot "this year"
Some good reading:
"15) Seattle trades its 2007 first round pick to New England for Deion Branch (Sept. 2006)
Trade made by: Tim Ruskell
Pick lost for: Tim Ruskell
Seattle saw a study that showed 50% of first round picks are busts. Therefore, it makes sense to trade for a veteran, when you know you’re getting a sure thing. At the time, the Seahawks were coming off a Super Bowl appearance but desired an extra playmaker at wide receiver. Ruskell wasn’t on any sort of hot seat, so this move had nothing to do with the principal-agent problem and everything to do with somehow thinking Deion Branch was worth a first round pick."
( I think he would have been worth the pick had he not gotten injured.)
http://www.footballperspective.com/anal ... und-picks/
1. Trading away a team's current player for a high round pick
2. Trading up a couple of spots to get a player you've ranked REALLY REALLY highly (Jarran Reed)
3. Trading down and getting extra picks out of it (more so than #2)
4. Trading away next year's pick for any reason because it has less value than a pick in the exact same spot "this year"
Some good reading:
"15) Seattle trades its 2007 first round pick to New England for Deion Branch (Sept. 2006)
Trade made by: Tim Ruskell
Pick lost for: Tim Ruskell
Seattle saw a study that showed 50% of first round picks are busts. Therefore, it makes sense to trade for a veteran, when you know you’re getting a sure thing. At the time, the Seahawks were coming off a Super Bowl appearance but desired an extra playmaker at wide receiver. Ruskell wasn’t on any sort of hot seat, so this move had nothing to do with the principal-agent problem and everything to do with somehow thinking Deion Branch was worth a first round pick."
( I think he would have been worth the pick had he not gotten injured.)
http://www.footballperspective.com/anal ... und-picks/
