"Our best draft pick "EVER" @32"
Whoa, now, hold yer horses mister...
I'm with English on this one. I wanted to fall in love with Matthews, and thought he was a total stud on his SEC record breaking numbers alone, but the deeper I got into his game... (aka projecting him forward into a Seahawks uniform & depth chart in 2014...) the more underwhelmed I became over time watching his gametape. (Not his highlight reels! His actual games…) It was a strange feeling.
I wanted to get excited, but he was exposed to me instead:
A) A lot of that huge 'production' was against soft zones, behind by multiple touchdowns, late in games.
B) A huge % of his catches were designed screens. But he didn't necessarily elude guys, or break tackles for YAC all that much.
C) He consistently played smaller than his size, and looked field-slower than his freaky 4.4 combine 40...
IMO He is a 3-4 rd. grade.
Now maybe that's just my own eyeballs' opinion, not "concrete facts", but honestly I believe there are at least dozen or so better options for the Seahawks at both #32 @! than Jordan Matthews.
But let’s get back to addressing the real issue here:
First off, how many times does Russell Wilson throw the ball in a game? 18? 22? 25? They are a grind it out, run first, defensive based team.
Now…
How many times does, say, Drew Brees throw the ball in a game? 40?45?50? They are a "win it in a shootout" offensive based, indoor, high scoring team.
The Seahawks want to maximize those fewer total opportunities with big, explosive plays down field; especially down the sidelines. And they do it with maximum athletes and spreading the ball around. An individual receiver might have 1 or 2, maybe 3 at the most, opportunities per game, and they need to maximize those chances and make big plays. But blocking for Marshawn in the running game ALL DAY is the #1 priority. IMO that plays to someone like Evans, Latimer, Moncrief, or Benjamin.
Not necessarily skinny/small guys like Cooks, Lee, Bryant, or Matthews.
Now, admittedly Matthews is not skinny... or small... but IMO he kinda 'plays small', and is simply not a good fit for the Seahawks, scheme-wise. He seems to me a cerebral player, who plays with more ‘finesse, in-between-the-zones’, rather than with vinegar, TNT and ADB 'us against the world' violence.
For example, I don't see him going up for a critical jumpball sandwiched between 2 guys and coming down with the game-shattering TD like Kearse did against Carolina (Week 1) and SF(NFCCG). Or doing the tippy, tippy toes in Houston and later vs. New Orleans in the playoffs (while getting his helmet torn off) like ADB. BOTH had game-breaking TDs in the Super Bowl. Thus, against our depth chart, Matthews would be a #4 or #5 WR, behind ADB/Jermaine Kearse. Matthews would have trouble seeing the field in 2014, and then he'd likely be needing scripted bubble-screens to gain separation/get involved at all.
We have Percy Harvin for that.
Now maybe I'm wrong, but Jordan Matthews looks to me like a better fit for a high-volume passing attack: Denver Broncos, NE Patriots, NO Saints, or even San Diego Chargers guy…
For instance, the Saints/Broncos want to "spread you out, and kill you with a thousand cuts". Drew Brees/Peyton Manning throw the ball all over the yard 40-50 times a game. Matthews would do well there because he is a high volume receiver, (he needs a lot of catches/opportunities to finally break one) who likes to catch screens, and sit down in zones. He could generally be very productive, and easily catch 5-50, or 6-60, on 8 or 9 targets every game in that system.
BUT... in the playoffs, say, vs. a brutal Seahawky press coverage Defense, how good would Jordan Matthews be? IMO He would be shutout like Jimmy for 3 quarters, (unable to gain separation &/or holes in the zone,) and yet still catch 8-56 late in the game against the prevent, and look super productive on the stat sheet.
Can you say Eric Decker on the Broncos?
IMO That’s Matthews ceiling.
Can you say Eric Decker on the Jets?
IMO That’s his NFL reality.
God help him if he ends up somewhere like Oakland. But somehow, best case scenario, I’m thinking Jacksonville, at the top of the 3rd. He’d be the focal point of their offense, and it’d be just like Vandy!
Lots of ‘production’…but not much winning.