Brian Billick's Toxic Differential (Oct 29 and Nov 17)

ivotuk

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Late in October, Seattle ranked #9, but they've fallen off a bit and in November Billick's chart only has ten teams, none of which are the Seahawks.

I believe that the rules change this year are going to require some changes in Billick's ranking system, because the November ranking seems off by quite a bit.

But ignoring any kind of rankings other than "who is a legitimate playoff team," I predict that Seattle's fortunes will rise over the next couple of weeks with the defense getting healthy and LMJ back.



"Halfway through the 2014 NFL season, a few things are clear: The Broncos are good, the NFC West is a bear, and rumors of the Patriots' demise have been greatly exaggerated.

But it's still difficult to sort out the genuine contenders from the teams that are merely pretenders. The clues are out there, though."


http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap300000 ... econd-half


"For a coach, the challenge is to recognize the need to improve in these areas, but at the same time not putting your team at risk. Take the Bears. They have generated 20 takeaways to just 11 turnovers (+9 turnover differential) and have produced 39 offensive explosive plays to allowing 33 defensively (+6 explosive differential). That's a toxic differential of +15. To increase their toxic differential, the Bears may emphasize generating more explosive plays on offense, but you can't do it at the cost of throwing more interceptions and therefore decreasing the turnover differential."

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/09000d5d8 ... ess-in-nfl
 
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