Majority Of Public Betting On Seahawks = We Lose

dopeboy206 · Dec 4, 2014

I know I'm going to get roasted for this cause everything I say is just a theory and there is no proof of games being fixed but sometimes it makes you wonder how can these casinos stay in business for so long...? That's because they win more than they lose to the public.

A lot of times I notice when it comes to sports betting the public loses more than the house (casinos) and looking at various betting sites....Currently the Seahawks are +1 underdogs at the moment. up to 98% of the public are betting on the Seahawks while only 2% is betting on the Eagles (money line)...76% are betting on the Seahawks to cover while only 24% is betting on the Eagles to cover (point spread).

I find it odd how the public is heavily leaning towards the Seahawks on the road. And how lopsided it is that the underdog is getting more bets in than a -1 point favorite. I would of expected more balance like 55-45 or 60-40 Seahawks...

Not saying we are going to lose "like what I posted on the title" but it's going to be a very tough one to win and not as easy like some of us believe. With that said I hope we win go Hawks!

PlinytheCenter · Dec 4, 2014

odds, schmods...I just want the refs to leave us alone. Let 'em play for chrissakes.

HawkAroundTheClock · Dec 4, 2014

Do you know of any trends or correlations regarding % of public betting for/against Seahawks and W/L?

LymonHawk · Dec 4, 2014

dopeboy206":3rerepq5 said:
I know I'm going to get roasted for this cause everything I say is just a theory and there is no proof of games being fixed but sometimes it makes you wonder how can these casinos stay in business for so long...? That's because they win more than they lose to the public.

A lot of times I notice when it comes to sports betting the public loses more than the house (casinos) and looking at various betting sites....Currently the Seahawks are +1 underdogs at the moment. up to 98% of the public are betting on the Seahawks while only 2% is betting on the Eagles (money line)...76% are betting on the Seahawks to cover while only 24% is betting on the Eagles (point spread).

I find it odd how the public is heavily leaning towards the Seahawks on the road. And how lopsided it is that the underdog is getting more bets in than a -1 point favorite. I would of expected more balance like 55-45 or 60-40 Seahawks...

Not saying we are going to lose "like what I posted on the title" but it's going to be a very tough one to win and not as easy like some of us believe. With that said I hope we win go Hawks!

I'm not sure of the stats you are quoting...but if the betting is so one sided, wouldn't the 'spread' be changing?

dopeboy206 · Dec 4, 2014

LymonHawk":2e30ct6e said:
dopeboy206":2e30ct6e said:

I know I'm going to get roasted for this cause everything I say is just a theory and there is no proof of games being fixed but sometimes it makes you wonder how can these casinos stay in business for so long...? That's because they win more than they lose to the public.

A lot of times I notice when it comes to sports betting the public loses more than the house (casinos) and looking at various betting sites....Currently the Seahawks are +1 underdogs at the moment. up to 98% of the public are betting on the Seahawks while only 2% is betting on the Eagles (money line)...76% are betting on the Seahawks to cover while only 24% is betting on the Eagles (point spread).

I find it odd how the public is heavily leaning towards the Seahawks on the road. And how lopsided it is that the underdog is getting more bets in than a -1 point favorite. I would of expected more balance like 55-45 or 60-40 Seahawks...

Not saying we are going to lose "like what I posted on the title" but it's going to be a very tough one to win and not as easy like some of us believe. With that said I hope we win go Hawks!

Click to expand...

I'm not sure of the stats you are quoting...but if the betting is so one sided, wouldn't the 'spread' be changing?

Yeah it should...I'm guessing it should go down to Pick 'em or maybe Seahawks -1 at most if this trend doesn't change..

hawksfansinceday1 · Dec 4, 2014

My contention is that if the betting was as one-sided as you say, the line would've moved much sooner than this. As proof I offer the case of Super Bowl XLVIII last year. Remember that the Hawks opened as like a 3 point favorite and money flowed in so heavily on the Donkeys that Vegas moved the line to even or maybe it was like Donkeys -1 within in the neighborhood of 8 hours of the initial line being posted.

Calling HawkWow to bring his wagering experience and expertise to the discussion.....................

Cartire · Dec 4, 2014

Need sources for your 98% to 2% line.

If that was true, the line would've moved.

And whats even more scary, if that really was true, then there is no way vegas allows us to win. 98% loss? No, they will not allow that. But they are also smart enough to not let it get to 98%.

Sarlacc83 · Dec 4, 2014

If your key statistic is one you made up on the spot, you are wrong.

blazen2392 · Dec 4, 2014

dopeboy206":1k905aqd said:
I know I'm going to get roasted for this cause everything I say is just a theory and there is no proof of games being fixed but sometimes it makes you wonder how can these casinos stay in business for so long...? That's because they win more than they lose to the public.

A lot of times I notice when it comes to sports betting the public loses more than the house (casinos) and looking at various betting sites....Currently the Seahawks are +1 underdogs at the moment. up to 98% of the public are betting on the Seahawks while only 2% is betting on the Eagles (money line)...76% are betting on the Seahawks to cover while only 24% is betting on the Eagles to cover (point spread).

I find it odd how the public is heavily leaning towards the Seahawks on the road. And how lopsided it is that the underdog is getting more bets in than a -1 point favorite. I would of expected more balance like 55-45 or 60-40 Seahawks...

Not saying we are going to lose "like what I posted on the title" but it's going to be a very tough one to win and not as easy like some of us believe. With that said I hope we win go Hawks!

sports betting accounts for about 2% of the revenue brought in to vegas. Yes they always make their money but more so on trap games. ATL VS Cardinals was a trap game. This is not a trap game, and a lot of times, the public bet is the safe bet. People are pounding the hawks because they have covered the spread in their last 4/5 in their last encounters. People are pounding the hawks because they have flashed superbowl potential on the road when they dismantled the 49ers. Hawks are the play here. Sorry it is not a trap game, and Fan feelings aside, i would back the Hawks as well from a buisness perspective.

Sac · Dec 4, 2014

The Seahawks in the Pete Carroll era have a long history of covering the spread. That is likely why so much money is going on them to cover. If that trend continues you'll likely see the line move to something like Seahawks -3, or -4 by game time to try and induce betting on Philly.

But Vegas makes money by trying to balance out the betting and getting even money on both sides of the bet. You're betting against other gamblers bets, not against the bookies themselves. Bookies make money off the vig, not the betting.

dopeboy206 · Dec 4, 2014

Sarlacc83":3cmosayp said:
If your key statistic is one you made up on the spot, you are wrong.

Just my own conspiracy theory no proof. Lol

dopeboy206 · Dec 4, 2014

blazen2392":395fhp2t said:
dopeboy206":395fhp2t said:

I know I'm going to get roasted for this cause everything I say is just a theory and there is no proof of games being fixed but sometimes it makes you wonder how can these casinos stay in business for so long...? That's because they win more than they lose to the public.

A lot of times I notice when it comes to sports betting the public loses more than the house (casinos) and looking at various betting sites....Currently the Seahawks are +1 underdogs at the moment. up to 98% of the public are betting on the Seahawks while only 2% is betting on the Eagles (money line)...76% are betting on the Seahawks to cover while only 24% is betting on the Eagles to cover (point spread).

I find it odd how the public is heavily leaning towards the Seahawks on the road. And how lopsided it is that the underdog is getting more bets in than a -1 point favorite. I would of expected more balance like 55-45 or 60-40 Seahawks...

Not saying we are going to lose "like what I posted on the title" but it's going to be a very tough one to win and not as easy like some of us believe. With that said I hope we win go Hawks!

Click to expand...

sports betting accounts for about 2% of the revenue brought in to vegas. Yes they always make their money but more so on trap games. ATL VS Cardinals was a trap game. This is not a trap game, and a lot of times, the public bet is the safe bet. People are pounding the hawks because they have covered the spread in their last 4/5 in their last encounters. People are pounding the hawks because they have flashed superbowl potential on the road when they dismantled the 49ers. Hawks are the play here. Sorry it is not a trap game, and Fan feelings aside, i would back the Hawks as well from a buisness perspective.

Cool. Your post makes me feel better going into the game as a fan. About the Arizona/Atlanta game the spread was too good to be true when I seen it and didn't bite.

volsunghawk · Dec 4, 2014

dopeboy206":1a8p5ynz said:
Sarlacc83":1a8p5ynz said:

If your key statistic is one you made up on the spot, you are wrong.

Click to expand...

Just my own conspiracy theory no proof. Lol

Man, .NET needs a forum for "Wild, Speculative Bullshit with Zero Evidence".

MizzouHawkGal · Dec 4, 2014

PlinytheCenter":3rstehy5 said:
odds, schmods...I just want the refs to leave us alone. Let 'em play for chrissakes.

I'd be happy to see an even amount of penalties called on both teams whenever we play from now on.

2_0_6 · Dec 4, 2014

I bet against the Hawks last week and lost money but yet I still considered it a win. I was happy to pay $50 to see the Hawks eat turkey on the Niners logo.

MidwestHawker · Dec 4, 2014

Right now it appears that the money on the coming game is tilted 60/40 in Seattle's favor.

https://www.sportsinsights.com/betting- ... ng-trends/

Not quite 98/2...

Cartire · Dec 4, 2014

Hawk_Nation":2mjla60g said:
I bet against the Hawks last week and lost money but yet I still considered it a win. I was happy to pay $50 to see the Hawks eat turkey on the Niners logo.

I dont know why you would admit to this.

Playing the field properly is one thing, but this was the niners man...

MidwestHawker · Dec 4, 2014

Cartire":1cvorlae said:
Hawk_Nation":1cvorlae said:

I bet against the Hawks last week and lost money but yet I still considered it a win. I was happy to pay $50 to see the Hawks eat turkey on the Niners logo.

Click to expand...

I dont know why you would admit to this.

Playing the field properly is one thing, but this was the niners man...

I don't really bet sports myself, but there's nothing wrong with a man making business decisions. Not like it affects the outcome.

2_0_6 · Dec 4, 2014

Cartire":65k7c1m6 said:
Hawk_Nation":65k7c1m6 said:

I bet against the Hawks last week and lost money but yet I still considered it a win. I was happy to pay $50 to see the Hawks eat turkey on the Niners logo.

Click to expand...

I dont know why you would admit to this.

Playing the field properly is one thing, but this was the niners man...

Why not? The Niners are still a good team, and based off our history down there I felt it was worth a gamble.

My coworker took the Hawks +14, so at the time I felt that was a great bet.

Cartire · Dec 4, 2014

Hawk_Nation":3ec48kwz said:
Cartire":3ec48kwz said:

Hawk_Nation":3ec48kwz said:

I bet against the Hawks last week and lost money but yet I still considered it a win. I was happy to pay $50 to see the Hawks eat turkey on the Niners logo.

Click to expand...

I dont know why you would admit to this.

Playing the field properly is one thing, but this was the niners man...

Click to expand...

Why not? The Niners are still a good team, and based off our history down there I felt it was worth a gamble.

My coworker took the Hawks +14, so at the time I felt that was a great bet.

What was the payout on +14?

Majority Of Public Betting On Seahawks = We Lose

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