ivotuk
Well-known member
" Similarly, the Broncos, Packers, Texans, Raiders and Seahawks, who didn't blow a single halftime advantage in 2014, saw their combined total rise to six in 2015, while their collective win-loss record stayed the same."
"Strength of schedule
A team's schedule isn't entirely random -- the 49ers are stuck in a division with the Seahawks and Cardinals for the foreseeable future -- but as many as 10 of a team's 16 games each season can be new opponents. That can allow for some dramatic swings in schedule quality. "
"We can produce an "expected" win total for each NFL team, given its point differential, by running the Pythagorean Expectation formula -- Points For2.37 / (Points For2.37 + Points Against2.37) -- and multiplying it by 16, for the number of games in a season.
Ever since Bill James created this for baseball and Houston Rockets general manager Daryl Morey modified it for football, the results have shown that winning more games than your Pythagorean Expectation tends to mean a team will decline the following season, while falling short of expectations tends to mean a team will improve."
http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/page/Bar ... o-chargers
"Strength of schedule
A team's schedule isn't entirely random -- the 49ers are stuck in a division with the Seahawks and Cardinals for the foreseeable future -- but as many as 10 of a team's 16 games each season can be new opponents. That can allow for some dramatic swings in schedule quality. "
"We can produce an "expected" win total for each NFL team, given its point differential, by running the Pythagorean Expectation formula -- Points For2.37 / (Points For2.37 + Points Against2.37) -- and multiplying it by 16, for the number of games in a season.
Ever since Bill James created this for baseball and Houston Rockets general manager Daryl Morey modified it for football, the results have shown that winning more games than your Pythagorean Expectation tends to mean a team will decline the following season, while falling short of expectations tends to mean a team will improve."
http://espn.go.com/nfl/story/_/page/Bar ... o-chargers
