Schedule: the rest of the way

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Re: Schedule: the rest of the way
Mon Oct 08, 2012 3:59 pm
  • Looking back to last year and the first 5 this year, this team is in every game. I do believe this year's team is good enough to contend with every team on our schedule - the way the ball bounces could cause a little variance but at the end of the day there will be a lot of losses in this list if the consistency and clarity of play does not improve. No more stupid penalties and finishing plays and games on offense/defense has to be the theme as they trudge through. Realistically I think we have a real shot at 12 wins or even more - but this is the NFL. The better we get, the harder our opponents will play. The question is how many wins does it take to make the post season - usually 10 is a good goal - which means can we get to 11? It's going to take some luck but I'm pretty sure they can do it.
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    nsport
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Re: Schedule: the rest of the way
Mon Oct 08, 2012 4:01 pm
  • vs New England - Loss
    at San Francisco - Loss
    at Detroit - Win
    vs Minnesota - Loss
    vs New York Jets - Win
    at Miami - Win
    at Chicago - Loss
    vs Arizona - Win
    at Buffalo - Win
    vs San Francisco - Loss
    St. Louis - Win

    For a final record of 9-7.
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    RobBaker7714409
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Re: Schedule: the rest of the way
Mon Oct 08, 2012 4:50 pm
  • i say we will be lucky to get to 10-6 with the way this offense is playing.
    that st louis loss hurts
    World champs

    russell wilson was born 5ft 10"
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    hawksincebirth
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Re: Schedule: the rest of the way
Mon Oct 08, 2012 5:55 pm
  • vs New England - Win
    at San Francisco - Loss
    at Detroit - Win
    vs Minnesota - Win
    vs New York Jets - Win
    at Miami - Win
    at Chicago - Win
    vs Arizona - Win
    at Buffalo - Win
    vs San Francisco - Win
    St. Louis - Win

    You can call me optimistic!
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    MANUNITED23
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Re: Schedule: the rest of the way
Mon Oct 08, 2012 9:39 pm
  • I think you are too optimistic on the Jets and Rams home games. Also, the percentages you have listed do not really add up to 11-5.

    Here is what your percentages look like in a simple simulation with no mutations.

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    Your mean is clearly on the edge between 9-7 and 10-6. Of course, in reality the distribution is quite a bit flatter than this due to the possibility of events occurring that change all of your future projections (key injuries as a downside, stellar play as an upside).
    "Check out my 2012 NFL Draft Grades. I just gave the worst grade ever to Seattle." - WalterFootball.com
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    AgentDib
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Re: Schedule: the rest of the way
Mon Oct 08, 2012 11:30 pm
  • AgentDib wrote:I think you are too optimistic on the Jets and Rams home games. Also, the percentages you have listed do not really add up to 11-5.

    Here is what your percentages look like in a simple simulation with no mutations.

    Image

    Your mean is clearly on the edge between 9-7 and 10-6. Of course, in reality the distribution is quite a bit flatter than this due to the possibility of events occurring that change all of your future projections (key injuries as a downside, stellar play as an upside).


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    NEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEERD!





    Ahem. Seriously though, good work.
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    kearly
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