We win our last road game and this team can legitimately be looking at 11-5. If the Niners lose one game outside of facing us and we're playing for the division. They are at New England.
So I think we win out and we win the division.
But now let's look at HFA. GB, the Giants and Chicago have 4 losses. Green Bay plays Chicago in Chicago. If the Bears win that one, the Bears then have three road games. I like our chances to finish with a tiebreaker against them if we win out. That leaves the Giants. At Washington, At Baltimore, At Atlanta, home against NO. What are the odds they win out? But they finish tied with us and they have the better conference record. Still, losing two of those road games looks very possible, meaning we win out we take the #2 slot if Green Bay loses one, Chicago loses one, the Niners lose to the Pats and the Giants lose two.
Which sounds like a lot to ask for, but given the remaining schedules for all teams concerned and it is very doable.