Formula for Seattle reaching #2 playoff seed

MontanaHawk05

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Apparently the Giants losing today made it a little more possible.

1. SEA wins out.

2. 49ers lose in New England.

3. Green Bay, Chicago, and Giants all lose one more. (We hold tiebreaker over the first two; Giants would win a tiebreaker with us via common-games record.)


I don't see anything in #3 coming true next week; all three play fairly easy teams. Week 15, though, the Bears and Packers play each other. Thus, via our tiebreaker over both (BAHAHAHA WILSON), one is assured to fall below the Seahawks should we win out. Also in Week 15, the 49ers travel to Foxborough (evening game, unfortunately) and the Giants travel to Atlanta. Tough road games for both.

Assuming we win out, Week 15 is huge for our playoff seeding.
 

jkitsune

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So the formula is really SEA wins out and 49ers (edit: in addition to @SEA), GB, Chicago, and Giants all lose one more, right? Does it have to be 9ers at NE?
 

hawksfan515

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BlueTalon":3idem0ic said:
In the NFL forum, I was actively hoping for a Redskins win, for exactly this reason.

That would be amazing if that happened. Right now I just want a wildcard spot though. Anyway's I am not a big fan of how our team plays after byes.........
 

BlueTalon

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hawksfan515":1ry4o9mw said:
Anyway's I am not a big fan of how our team plays after byes.........
We weren't big fans of how they play on the road either, until yesterday.

Poor post-bye play is the next trend to fall.
 

sturg78

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Redskins winning helped our #2 chances but hurt our wildcard chances, right? Now they have the ability to challenge us if they continue to do well and hold tie breakers due to NFC record...
 

SalishHawkFan

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If the Giants lose to the Ravens - entirely possible in Baltimore - it's possible the Skins win the division and the Giants aren't even in the playoffs.
 

Hawken-Dazs

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jkitsune":17myh3fw said:
So the formula is really SEA wins out and 49ers (edit: in addition to @SEA), GB, Chicago, and Giants all lose one more, right? Does it have to be 9ers at NE?

No, but it's the most likely to happen.
 

jamsomatic

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jkitsune":3rel6s7r said:
So the formula is really SEA wins out and 49ers (edit: in addition to @SEA), GB, Chicago, and Giants all lose one more, right? Does it have to be 9ers at NE?

The niners just have to lose games to us and another team. And we win them all.
 

BobcatHawk

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sturg78":2sdoar95 said:
Redskins winning helped our #2 chances but hurt our wildcard chances, right? Now they have the ability to challenge us if they continue to do well and hold tie breakers due to NFC record...

The good thing is we control our own destiny as far as they're concerned.
 

jkitsune

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My NFL playoff machine scenario for the Seahawks as #2 seed....

SEA wins out
SF loses @NE
CHI loses @MIN
NYG loses @ATL or @BAL
GB loses @CHI
 

JerHawk81

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SEA wins out - 50%
SF loses @NE - 40%
CHI loses @MIN 60%
NYG loses @ATL or @BAL- 70%
GB loses @CHI 50%

Chances: 4% (using rough math).

We're in great shape to make the playoffs. But the chances of getting to the #2 spot look slim.
 

baumer64

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For the 2nd seed, #1 the Hawks must win out.
Week 14: SF beats Miami, Giants beat Saints, GB beat Detroit and Vikings beat Bears
Week 15: Bears beat GB, Falcons beat Giants, NE beat SF
Week 16: GB beats Titans, Ravens beat Giants, Bears beat Cards and We beat SF
Week 17: Giants, Bears, GB, SF and us all win

With this scenario, We are 11-5 along with GB and Bears. SF is 10-5-1 with Giants at 9-7.
We win the tiebreaker and are the #2 seed.

To me, this is a very possible outcome.... IF we can win out.
 

AROS

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Hot damn this thread sure beats the hell out of yesteryear when we would be talking about draft positioning already.
 

jamsomatic

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JerHawk81":1vx28y7q said:
SEA wins out - 50%
SF loses @NE - 40%
CHI loses @MIN 60%
NYG loses @ATL or @BAL- 70%
GB loses @CHI 50%

Chances: 4% (using rough math).

We're in great shape to make the playoffs. But the chances of getting to the #2 spot look slim.


Naw... The Bears are perfectly capable of losing @ Minny or @ Detroit or @ Arizona. There are other variables that alter ypour stats. Agreed?
 

therealjohncarlson

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JerHawk81":3fhpnou6 said:
SEA wins out - 50%
SF loses @NE - 40%
CHI loses @MIN 60%
NYG loses @ATL or @BAL- 70%
GB loses @CHI 50%

Chances: 4% (using rough math).

We're in great shape to make the playoffs. But the chances of getting to the #2 spot look slim.

Bump that second stat up to 60%. The niners are inconsistent, the pats have been playing great, and the game is in Foxborough
 

Hawkscanner

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I've been saying for about 3 weeks now -- Keep an eye on this Redskins team because they could potentially catch fire and sneak in to the playoff picture. Well, don't look now, but they're 6-6 ... AND (like the Seahawks) they've got a real cupcake schedule coming up ...

Week 14 -- Home vs. Baltimore
Week 15 -- at Cleveland
Week 16 -- at Philadelphia
Week 17 -- Home vs. Dallas

Outside of the Ravens game (which they play at home) ... all of those are extremely win-able games. It's not out of the realm of possibility with the way that RGIII has played this season that they could win out and finish 10-6. In fact at this point, I'd count on that happening. So when talking about playoff scenarios, I'd include them in the conversation as well.
 
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