sutz":1p53pzuj said:
QBR in the original NFL version overvalues TD's, INTs, and yards. No mention of W/L percentage or 'game management' skills. Think of a Fantasy Football stat. We don't throw enough to get Wilson huge numbers, so he won't rank as high as others on more pass happy teams. Wilson's QBR is high enough, as he avoids Ints, but probably doesn't throw enough TDs to beat out the Manning's and Rodgers's of the NFL.
Hey, if he wins another SB or two, I can live with it. A comment about stats. Historically, stats leaders seldom win championships. The 'stat' that matters really is wins and losses, even though that was once a Trent Dilfer argument.
I think he's talking about ESPN's QBR, not passer rating. WIlson has a playoff passer rating of 102.0, which is 6th all-time among QBs with at least 100 attempts.
ESPN developed their Total QBR to try to account for those aspects of QB play that don't show up in normal passer rating, such as rushes, sacks and penalties, and also subjectively evaluating every play to see if who deserves credit or fault, but they went overboard on a lot of it, especially the rushing component. They overvalue long rushes far too much, when a lot of it is about field position than anything. The most egregious example from last year had Pryor getting a 93-yard rushing touchdown on the first play of the game, and thereafter going 10-18 for 88 yards, 0 TDs and 2 ints and 8 carries for 13 yards. Pryor contributed one first down the entire second half, and Oakland beat Pittsburgh despite gaining only 30 yards that half. That somehow earned Pryor a QBR of 96.2 out of 100.
