aulaza wrote:Hi there, another Broncos fan here!
All season I've thought the Seahawks were the best team in the league, I think its nice to have the very best in the superbowl, which doesn't always happen. I've read through the thread, and would note a couple of things;
I know we all like statistics, but I don't think we'll be told much by DVOA with regards to this game. We should focus more on matchups and how things we play out to get an idea of who may win, IMO. We can go back and forth all day on who has played who and who is better statistically etc etc, but none of it really matters - the two best teams are in the superbowl. Now it just matters how they match up.
Thanks for taking the time to chime in ... and please, feel free to do so more this upcoming week. Let me say right up front that if massive posts put you off, you're probably going to struggle with me. I'm a teacher by trade, so I do tend to give classroom lectures -- it's just in my nature.
With you, I'll try my best to be as brief, yet thorough as I can be.
Totally agreed -- these ARE the two best teams in their respective divisions. NOW, we get a chance to see who is the best of the best. On to your comments ...
aulaza wrote:I'm a pretty pessimistic fan in general, I get incredibly nervous and never like to get my hopes up too much!! So maybe that plays into this, but I really don't like this matchup for us. Seattle's defense is exactly built to stop us. Not only in the secondary but up front.
I believe the front four will create pressure. I expect them to challenge our left side (our weaker side). The loss of Clady has been masked all season, and Clark has played well, but I believe we will feel this loss in the SB. Clark has struggled against really good pass rushers, and he seems to specialise in pushing guys past the pocket, allowing peyton to step up. In this game, I see Beadles giving up significant pressure, and the pocket being pushed across the front much more than previously, meaning Manning won't be able to step up like he usually does. I think this hurts Clark.
I think the corners will do a good job against our receivers. It will be interesting to see how they officiate on the outside, but I think our receivers will allow themselves to get mugged. I know everyone raves about our receivers, but I'd like to see them get way more physical with DB's. Im sick and tired of them looking for flags all the time. Im not gonna lie, I hope the officials are strict with contact on the back end!! But if they aren't our receivers need to realise it and adapt their game to how the officials are calling it. If Sherman holds you DT, DO something about it!! I hope they can do that in this game, but I give the edge to the Seahawks corners. If anything, it seems to me Sherman has struggled more with smaller, shiftier receivers with speed like TY Hilton. Unfortuantely we don't have anyone like that!
I tend to be the nervous nellie when it comes to my team as well. I don't know how old you are, but I go back to the old AFC West days. For me, I still consider the the Broncos, Raiders, Chiefs, and Chargers my rivals ... and I remember all too well the days of John Elway always finding a way to beat the Seahawks time and time again. The Seahawks it seemed always found a way to lose. UGH!
That said, this is a totally different era with totally different teams, coaches, and so on. If I were a Broncos fan, I don't believe I could have chosen a worse matchup for the Broncos than the Seattle Seahawks. They are a physical, physical crew all the way across -- very nasty defense.
I heard something yesterday (that I hadn't heard before) that really puts things in perspective with just how good Seattle's Defense truly is. This year, the Seattle Seahawks Defense ended the season ...
#1 in Total Points Allowed (231 -- an average of 14.4 Per Game)
#1 in Total Yards Allowed (4,378 -- an average of 273.6 Per Game)
#1 in Total Turnovers (39 -- they had 28 interceptions (#1) and 11 fumble recoveries)
The last team to finish #1 in each of those categories ... was the 1985 Chicago Bears.
Yes, as I've mentioned Seattle's Front 4 is extremely good. Both Bennett and Avril were among Pro Football Focus's top 10 defensive lineman in terms of generating pressure. And the Seahawks pass rush doesn't stop there. DT's Brandon Mebane and Tony McDaniel were not only two of the top run stuffers in the game (2nd and 4th best according to PFF) ... they were also two of the NFL's best pass rushing interior lineman as well. Seattle was one of the best pressure inducing teams in the NFL WITHOUT having to blitz much.
In terms of Seattle's secondary vs. Denver's WR's, I've heard a lot about these guys trying to create separation for themselves with pick plays (especially Wes Welker). Well I would say that if they try that ... that would be a bad, bad move for Denver. Seattle's secondary LIKES to get physical. That's how they're wired. Honestly, someone is likely to get his head taken off. Better to run away from those guys. On the smaller, quicker WR's, I'd say you may be right ... but here's where he's got some help. As I'm sure you know, FS Earl Thomas plays deep center field and he is a guided missile in terms of his speed. If you've got All-22, just watch what he does back there. In a word, WOW!
aulaza wrote:I have some questions for you guys as well though. I saw a lot of you guys early season, but not so much recently. I've always like Wilson and thought he was a good QB. Im just wondering why he hasn't played as well recently. I haven't seen him, but everyone seems to be talking about Seattle's lack of offense and Wilson's less than stellar play. Has he been innacurate, or made poor decisions?? As I say, I see him as a pretty good QB who can definitely hurt us, but what has happened recently?
That's true that Wilson DID kind of struggle down the stretch (though he had a great game this past Sunday). Here are a few reasons that I believe account for that ...
1) Seattle's Offensive Line, though intact beginning with that Minnesota game, has taken several games to gel again. I've heard it said time and time again that it generally takes a long time for offenses (especially offensive lines) to really get clicking. They had so many guys out for such an extended period of time that it simply has taken this long to get firing on all cylinders again. Perhaps because of Seattle's Offensive Line being bad for so long, it might have affected Wilson's timing -- undoubtedly it did.
2) Seattle has played extremely good defenses down the stretch. New Orleans, San Francisco, the Giants, Arizona, and St. Louis -- all some of the better defenses in the league. Football Outsiders ranked the Saints Defense #10, the 49ers Defense #12, the Giants Defense #3, the Cardinals Defense #2, and the Rams Defense #6. That accounts for some of that.
3) Seattle's lack of speed at WR finally caught up to them and teams learned how to adapt. Losing Percy Harvin early really hurt this team because opposing DB's looked at Seattle's WR's and didn't see anyone whom they really had to respect in terms of their speed. Then after Sidney Rice went down, opposing DB's especially said to themselves that there was no one who could really burn them deep. So, good defenses that had good, physical cornerbacks basically started jamming Seattle's receivers and not allowing them much separation at all. When Harvin came back for that Vikings game, you could see the effect he had, as corners all of a sudden started backing off. At the same time, teams discovered that if they used their Defensive Ends to CONTAIN Russell Wilson instead of simply rushing up the field and allowing him to get outside where he could cause some damage, that that could limit his effectiveness. All of that held true for awhile, but it's certainly isn't going to in this game because Harvin will be back for the Super Bowl and has been determined to be a full go. At the same time, Wilson WAS in a slump himself, as he was off on a number of his throws. I'm guessing in part because of all of this other stuff.
By the way, I wouldn't read too much in to Russell Wilson's lack of stats from that New Orleans Divisional playoff game. Those were horrible conditions (40 mph winds and driving rain). For example, in the 3rd quarter, Seattle attempted a grand total of 3 passes in large part because I believe they were playing against the wind. This past week, he looked more like his old self.