The end of football will look like this.

sdog1981

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High schools will not be able to get insurance for the sport. I have a feeling California will be the first state to completely ban High School football and other states will follow. I think the future will be a 7 on 7 flag football style game.

https://es.pn/2FygsVt
 

HawkGA

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I don't actually know the answer to this question, but how big of an issue are injuries and concussions at the high school level? I've often thought it's a bigger problem for the pros because the players are so much bigger and faster. I don't think anybody is getting a serious injury playing pee-wee football. But when does the danger really kick in?
 
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sdog1981

sdog1981

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HawkGA":393i0i7s said:
I don't actually know the answer to this question, but how big of an issue are injuries and concussions at the high school level? I've often thought it's a bigger problem for the pros because the players are so much bigger and faster. I don't think anybody is getting a serious injury playing pee-wee football. But when does the danger really kick in?

The only thing that matters is what do insurance companies think will happen? To me, it feels like these insurance companies think ex-high school football players will come back and sue the high schools when they get older. So that is why some of these companies don't want to get involved.
 

Hawkstorian

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The son of one of my co-workers messed up his knee as a sophomore -- he's had 2 surgeries and will likely live with issues his whole life. Part of the reason is he was playing with pain and didn't want to tell anyone because he was afraid he'd miss games. Turns out he never played after that year.

So yeah, you have to wonder if it's worth it.
 

Sports Hernia

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Football is a risky game. I played a bit in highschool back in the caveman days, we knew the risk back then, the kids and parents are even more aware of it now.

My nephew played as a junior for the first time this year, since the 8th grade, and had a fun and great year. He is also a very good varsity baseball player and plays varsity basketball.

My brother grilled the risk of playing football into him and made him aware of the consequences of getting hurt meant the possibility of not playing basketball or baseball if he was severely hurt. Luckily, outside of the usual dings, he was healthy and didn’t miss a game.

At the highschool level I’ve seen Football players, basketball players, and baseball players, soccer players, and even cheerleaders all carted/carried off the field due to injury. It sucks when it happens to any kid on any team or any school, but it’s a reality of all contact sports.
 

Uncle Si

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sdog1981":f1cczco6 said:
HawkGA":f1cczco6 said:
I don't actually know the answer to this question, but how big of an issue are injuries and concussions at the high school level? I've often thought it's a bigger problem for the pros because the players are so much bigger and faster. I don't think anybody is getting a serious injury playing pee-wee football. But when does the danger really kick in?

The only thing that matters is what do insurance companies think will happen? To me, it feels like these insurance companies think ex-high school football players will come back and sue the high schools when they get older. So that is why some of these companies don't want to get involved.

Thats clearly not the only thing that matters. Id say it barely comes up. The kids sign waivers.

HawkGA.. to your question, the rate of concussions are actually much higher at the HS level. They dont play as big, fast and strong at those ages. But they are also not nearly as well trained, physically developed or properly coached. The inconsistencies in their development, volume of games (in sports like soccer/hockey), training as well as the imbalanced levels of talent on a field lend to more injuries.
 

chris98251

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Uncle Si":20im8wn1 said:
sdog1981":20im8wn1 said:
HawkGA":20im8wn1 said:
I don't actually know the answer to this question, but how big of an issue are injuries and concussions at the high school level? I've often thought it's a bigger problem for the pros because the players are so much bigger and faster. I don't think anybody is getting a serious injury playing pee-wee football. But when does the danger really kick in?

The only thing that matters is what do insurance companies think will happen? To me, it feels like these insurance companies think ex-high school football players will come back and sue the high schools when they get older. So that is why some of these companies don't want to get involved.

Thats clearly not the only thing that matters. Id say it barely comes up. The kids sign waivers.

HawkGA.. to your question, the rate of concussions are actually much higher at the HS level. They dont play as big, fast and strong at those ages. But they are also not nearly as well trained, physically developed or properly coached. The inconsistencies in their development, volume of games (in sports like soccer/hockey), training as well as the imbalanced levels of talent on a field lend to more injuries.


They play with their testicles, everyone wants to knock a guy out and show up the other guys as who is tougher, play to the chicks, or make a impression for a scout or get their name on Paul Silvi's sports, I would say Newspapers but I don't think High Schools get covered like the old days. Your point about trianing is also valid but face it High School kids think with their sex organs more then their brains a lot of the time.


I played and coached, you have to remember where you mind was at in those years and what was important if you were a competitive athlete.


How many times did team mates ask you if you are going to let that guy do that to you if you got beat on a play or took a good hit. It was expected to give a payback shot at some point.
 

Uncle Si

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Thats some stunning imagery Chris...

My point is that HS athletes are suffering a great deal of significant injuries and its not because they hit each other harder. Sports are taken far more seriously than 25 years ago. The kids are far more involved, far more intelligent, far more committed. Their parents are far more active in these pursuits as well. Coaching and training cannot keep up on that grand of a scale.

Im not talking football here (although that has the highest rate at the moment). SYou have girls playing contact sports, they play with vigor and ambition, but not necessarily proper education. They are also surrounded by significant gaps in talent. Thus, injuries at these levels become more prevalent. Without proper training, education and recognition by all participants, it can look like organized chaos.
 

Sgt. Largent

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Insurance definitely controls these sorts of things at the youth level, but money controls sports at the collegiate and pro level.

So as much as we all hate greed and the money side of sports, it's exactly what's going to keep football going for a long long time. If that means the NFL and NCAA start self insuring and funding the insurance side of high school football to keep their precious pipeline of players coming into their billion dollar sport empires because no national insurance carrier will underwrite high school football?

Then that's what will happen.
 

chris98251

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There will be some company somewhere that will insure High School athletics, WHY? because there is billions to be made by all the parents wanting their little Suzie and or Jimmy to be the next Russell Wilson or King Felix, Ronda Rousey or whomever.


If you coached kids the parents are the ego, they are trying to live vicariously through their kids many times and they will pay and pay some more. These elite Base Ball, Soccer, and now Football and Basketball leagues catered to put all star teams together that many parents buy into and the leagues exploit by a large margin to drive their own agenda have taken over a lot of the players lives. Players were always drivin and tuned in, those that thought they could go to college and or get drafted like in Baseball and Hockey out of High School. The leagues and schools just started t heavily tap into the revenue the last 30 years these kids can generate for districts and schools. These kids living in fostered programs to be at a certain school escalated, agents and sponsors back ending the funding of a lot of the programs to be involved when the kids are eligible.

Kids are not kids if they have a interest and a talent in a sport anymore and will be rode for whatever they can provide. The need to win has transitioned from Pro to College and now to Schools and down to the minor leagues and Jr leagues . They are a commodity to be leveraged, until they have a injury that knocks them out of that elite group.


They may not get the training to protect themselves, but unscrupulous coaches also will target other kids to win, that's reality and I seen it happen more then once. Coaches sending a Kid in to spear a arm or leg of a good player for another team is just one example.
 

Uncle Si

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i think we are just sharing similar thoughts with different examples.

Yes, some coach telling a player to go headhunting has always happened, but its is not why injuries are up across all high school sports.

Academies are starting to create a significant layer between HS and college. There is not a "need to win" there. The mentality is to move them to the next level. What that looks like is up to you. We have 2 hockey institutions here in Minnesota. Neither are "win above all costs" programs. They develop their players, who turn into pros. They garner revenue from their popularity. Winning, however, matters little. Most hockey academies dont even keep league standings.

Football is generating similar systems out east and in the west. And they are realizing they will have to play each other for competition. With so little options, who wins matters little. Kids from all over will flock there.

I can continue, but again, it's way off topic. The injuries issue with HS athletes is a lack of proper training. Go to any HS or academy in America and try and coach any sport and the first thing (after your background check passes) you will is take several courses on training players mentally and physically to avoid injury. Concussions, muscle strains and joint sprains, heart concerns, exhaustion, nutrition, bullying, sexual assault, etc. etc. Its a lot to process just as a coach.

If you want to think its a meat grinder, then go ahead. Im sure HS football still holds onto that in some parts of the country. But the highest levels of development at these ages are way past "win for the program, win for the coach."

The players are the equity. They are the asset. You cant thrive as an organization or league if you chew through your players. your time with them is short. You get more from them if they move on to healthy college and pro careers than if they win a U16 DA game in St. Louis or an AAU showcase in Quebec. If you get the best 20-100 kids at any sport in one of 5 regions playing in the same place, the scouts will be there. Who wins is immaterial. Anb there are no borders anymore. Number of high school aged kids developing as soccer, hockey, baseball, volleyball players in foreign countries is amazing.

Its the rest of HS sports where the lack of preparedness and poor approach to management by under-qualified coaches are causing issues. I have seen it working in both environments in soccer, and have watched many of my friends kids go through it with hockey.
 

chris98251

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Uncle Si":3fcmafrc said:
You're all over the map here Chris. But i think we are just sharing similar thoughts with different examples.

Yes, some coach telling a player to go headhunting has always happened, but its is not why injuries are up across all high school sports.

Academies are starting to create a significant layer between HS and college. There is not a "need to win" there. The mentality is to move them to the next level. What that looks like is up to you. We have 2 hockey institutions here in Minnesota. Neither are "win above all costs" programs. They develop their players, who turn into pros. They garner revenue from their popularity. Winning, however, matters little. Most hockey academies dont even keep league standings.

Football is generating similar systems out east and in the west. And they are realizing they will have to play each other for competition. With so little options, who wins matters little. Kids from all over will flock there.

I can continue, but again, it's way off topic. The injuries issue with HS athletes is a lack of proper training. Go to any HS or academy in America and try and coach any sport and the first thing (after your background check passes) you will is take several courses on training players mentally and physically to avoid injury. Concussions, muscle strains and joint sprains, heart concerns, exhaustion, nutrition, bullying, sexual assault, etc. etc. Its a lot to process just as a coach.

If you want to think its a meat grinder, then go ahead. Im sure HS football still holds onto that in some parts of the country. But the highest levels of development at these ages are way past "win for the program, win for the coach."

The players are the equity. They are the asset. You cant thrive as an organization or league if you chew through your players. your time with them is short. You get more from them if they move on to healthy college and pro careers than if they win a U16 DA game in St. Louis or an AAU showcase in Quebec. If you get the best 20-100 kids at any sport in one of 5 regions playing in the same place, the scouts will be there. Who wins is immaterial.

Its the rest of HS sports where the lack of preparedness and poor approach to management by under-qualified coaches are causing issues. I have seen it working in both environments in soccer, and have watched many of my friends kids go through it with hockey.


Your league gets it's rep by players in higher levels promoted and championships, why do they have that listed at the top of the list everywhere, 2018 champions would not be on top if that wasn't a recruiting tool and a driving force everywhere.


Pull your head out, winning makes money, money buys more toys and more assets for schools. It's about winning. People going to games and getting into altercations with Officials isn't due to safety it's because of perceived slights preventing a team from winning.


Thats the real world, be it sports, business, politics, it's always about Money and winning, Kids are disposable and forgotton a year after they leave school by most people. They have a new group to exploit, the kids are put upon to take advantage of the chance they supposedly get.


Our past election tells the story about winning.


False revenue and income from companies shows that cheating in business is about winning Shareholders and profits.


Colleges breaking recruiting rules and NCAA violations tells us about winning and money.


It goes on...…...


Two cousins played Pro Hockey here, I know what they endured, they were both injured and retired before they could break into the NHL. Wasn't worth it at some point to them.
 

Uncle Si

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Winning championships at the youth level doesn't generate revenue... pull your head out Chris. We arent talking about College. Don't move the goalposts. That argument is different, and I'd agree with you. Where you come up with the election thing is just absurdly off topic and irrelevant.

Not only did i list several developmental academies of several sports that draw revenue from marketing the success of their players in college and pros, but also work for one. This is international in scope and philosophy. The biggest academies dont even keep score or standings. Why? Because it hinders the development of the players and changes the focus of the coaches. The players are the success, not medals. We dont lose out on recruits because we dont post our medal counts while the group a town over celebrates their "regional championship" because we know exactly what that means and who we play.

Your view on this is generational and quickly becoming outdated.

I know, work with and have trained several former pro athletes. Im sorry about your cousins. if they were coming through now, they'd probably have a different path to the NHL.
 

chris98251

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Uncle Si":yo83c3mc said:
Winning championships at the youth level doesn't generate revenue... pull your head out Chris. We arent talking about College. Don't move the goalposts. That argument is different, and I'd agree with you. Where you come up with the election thing is just absurdly off topic and irrelevant.

Not only did i list several developmental academies of several sports that draw revenue from marketing the success of their players in college and pros, but also work for one. This is international in scope and philosophy. The biggest academies dont even keep score or standings. Why? Because it hinders the development of the players and changes the focus of the coaches. The players are the success, not medals. We dont lose out on recruits because we dont post our medal counts while the group a town over celebrates their "regional championship" because we know exactly what that means and who we play.

Your view on this is generational and quickly becoming outdated.

I know, work with and have trained several former pro athletes. Im sorry about your cousins. if they were coming through now, they'd probably have a different path to the NHL.


So leagues success isn't about the money people pay to go there, thats revenue.
 

Uncle Si

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The revenue does not come from league success. that is what i am telling you. The revenue is generated from just being in the league.

Let's look at soccer. You have highly competitive club soccer where parents pay up to 4k for their kid to get year round training. They measure success by winning their state championship.

The highest level of soccer is DA soccer. Those kids are the best 30 at their age level. Those parents pay 1500 for year round soccer. Coaches make 100K plus a season. At Shattuck St. Mary's (top ranked hockey school in country last i saw), they can also enroll at the school for 35K a year. The DA teams, the best in the region, are levels above the club teams. Their league position doesnt matter. many top players in the state is clamoring to go there and would leave their State Championship team at Sporting or Blackhawks or Salvo to play on MNU, even if MNU finished last in the DA league.

The revenue comes from sponsorship, from the parent club (if they are MLS affiliated) and tuition (if there is a school associated with it).

Now, if you have competing academies near by, winning over your rival may mean something, but the biggest thing a recruits mom and dad wants to hear is not "we won the U17 championship" but "we put 11 of our 20 into D1 programs and 4 others are moving to international clubs, three players just signed MLS contracts and an alum got his first national call up."

Hockey is similar with the Juniors in Canada. There are football academies popping up all over the place.

Of course the process is intense and can be grueling. But success isnt based on winning. Success is the process and the players who come through it to bigger things.
 

chris98251

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35k plus 1500, now not all can be on a roster so they have to train, not sure how big a roster is for them but I would say 30 kids probably, how many looking to make that roster then 1000, 2000, that's a lot of revenue just for Soccer with what 5 percent actually playing unless you have a bunch of tiers set up to leverage promotion to another tier. What about the kids that don't get promoted? They are used to train those that do and that money I hope does more then just pad some admins bank account.


A kids coach making 100,000 a year that doesn't care about winning, that's hard to swallow.
 

Uncle Si

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chris98251":1732by7s said:
35k plus 1500, now not all can be on a roster so they have to train, not sure how big a roster is for them but I would say 30 kids probably, how many looking to make that roster then 1000, 2000, that's a lot of revenue just for Soccer with what 5 percent actually playing unless you have a bunch of tiers set up to leverage promotion to another tier. What about the kids that don't get promoted? They are used to train those that do and that money I hope does more then just pad some admins bank account.


A kids coach making 100,000 a year that doesn't care about winning, that's hard to swallow.

The parents dont care either. Its about the players getting the best training for their development

This is the way sports at the highest youth levels are going. The emphasis on winning distracts from the most important atteibutes of player development

Its progressive and forward thinking. These are classrooms, games are just tests along the way

The 35k is a private school. Most those kids are getting college scolarships if not more. Its elite for a reason. If the coaches at shattuck just focused on winning then their players would lack the development to be more than whars needed to win a u16 soccer game
 

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Hawkstorian":12g08yob said:
The son of one of my co-workers messed up his knee as a sophomore -- he's had 2 surgeries and will likely live with issues his whole life. Part of the reason is he was playing with pain and didn't want to tell anyone because he was afraid he'd miss games. Turns out he never played after that year.

So yeah, you have to wonder if it's worth it.

The problem with this logic is that you can get hurt anywhere. I played football from 3rd grade all the way through college, not one major injury. Sure a broken finger or 2 ( I played CB in HS and safety in college) and some hamstring issues from time to time. But nothing that held me out.

I tore my MCL playing basketball, broke my wrist playing basketball, and knees hurt now from playing basketball. So to put injuries on football, is a bit short sighted by people, you get hurt in all sports. My best friend got hit in the head by a softball running to 1st, cracked his skull.

I know head injuries are a real thing, and I would never argue otherwise. But when people bring up knees and other things getting hurt, that's part of life. Unless you force your kid to just do nothing. Then they get fat, have carpal tunnel, and have diabetes.
 

Sgt. Largent

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chris98251":3hjc5l5j said:
There will be some company somewhere that will insure High School athletics, WHY? because there is billions to be made by all the parents wanting their little Suzie and or Jimmy to be the next Russell Wilson or King Felix, Ronda Rousey or whomever..

That's not how insurance works.

There is no "future" monetary benefit for an insurance liability carrier for the less than 1% of the kids who are actually going to be professional athletes.

Insurance is cold hard actuarial math. Is there a formula based on the risk where we can make money?

The more health risks involved, the more being on the losing end of lawsuits for CTE and other long term football injuries over decades, and that profit margin evaporates, and that line of business is no longer viable.........and when that happens, that sport or business goes away.

Unless it's self insured, or like I posted above the NCAA and NFL assume all insurance protection under their liability umbrella for all high school youth sports........or they agree to pay the premiums for the selected school districts.

Which is what I think will happen if this story ever comes to fruition and insurance carriers bail on school districts and youth leagues.
 
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