Schedule: the rest of the way

RobBaker7714409 · Oct 8, 2012

vs New England - Loss
at San Francisco - Loss
at Detroit - Win
vs Minnesota - Loss
vs New York Jets - Win
at Miami - Win
at Chicago - Loss
vs Arizona - Win
at Buffalo - Win
vs San Francisco - Loss
St. Louis - Win

For a final record of 9-7.

hawksincebirth · Oct 8, 2012

i say we will be lucky to get to 10-6 with the way this offense is playing.
that st louis loss hurts

MANUNITED23 · Oct 8, 2012

vs New England - Win
at San Francisco - Loss
at Detroit - Win
vs Minnesota - Win
vs New York Jets - Win
at Miami - Win
at Chicago - Win
vs Arizona - Win
at Buffalo - Win
vs San Francisco - Win
St. Louis - Win

You can call me optimistic!

AgentDib · Oct 8, 2012

I think you are too optimistic on the Jets and Rams home games. Also, the percentages you have listed do not really add up to 11-5.

Here is what your percentages look like in a simple simulation with no mutations.

Your mean is clearly on the edge between 9-7 and 10-6. Of course, in reality the distribution is quite a bit flatter than this due to the possibility of events occurring that change all of your future projections (key injuries as a downside, stellar play as an upside).

kearly · Oct 9, 2012

AgentDib":3ony9uo3 said:
I think you are too optimistic on the Jets and Rams home games. Also, the percentages you have listed do not really add up to 11-5.

Here is what your percentages look like in a simple simulation with no mutations.

Your mean is clearly on the edge between 9-7 and 10-6. Of course, in reality the distribution is quite a bit flatter than this due to the possibility of events occurring that change all of your future projections (key injuries as a downside, stellar play as an upside).

NEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEERD!

Ahem. Seriously though, good work.

Schedule: the rest of the way

RobBaker7714409

New member

hawksincebirth

Active member

MANUNITED23

New member

AgentDib

Well-known member

kearly

New member

Similar threads

Latest posts