I've called for 3 blowouts in big games this year, the only one I was mistaken on was the 2nd Saints game which was not a blowout (but in my opinion should have been). This is my 4th blowout call. The reason? I think the Hawks are a better team, but that in and of itself would not result in a blowout. The reason it will be a blowout is that not just are they better, but they have 4-5 random factors all benefiting them in this matchup. So not only are they better but they are playing the perfect opponent at the perfect time.
1) Seahawks strength dominates Denver strength. The Seahawks have a legendary defense, one of the best I've ever seen. There is no simple way to combat this legendary defense. But if you're going to pick a method or I should say a TEAM that would be best to go up against this Seahawks defense, it would be the exact opposite of the Denver Broncos. It would be the 49ers. An absolutely athletic QB with a ground and pound game plan and some play action to compliment that attack. Basically I would construct the 49ers. They have the offensive line, the QB which can hurt you in a million different ways, the RB which is north/south, big and strong, plus WRs/TEs which are extremely large and athletic. The Denver broncs are the exact opposite --they are the perfect opponent for this defense. A noodle armed QB who can beat you in one way, a QB which you know will sit on his spot. WRs who are not knwn for their physicality. A running game which is more finesse that pound. The Hawks will play physical press man/zone, let their rushers loose and get to Manning.
2) Outdoor wind. This is New Jersey in winter time. The best weather which can be hoped for is cold + no snow. You will get some wind. And wind will destroy Manning's duck passes.
3) Seattle's offense versus Denver's defense. Denver's defense has NOT seen anything like this offense. I know this may sound weird to some after hearing about all the weaknesses on this offense. But ask yourself when has this Denver defense played against a GOOD read option QB which can also hurt you with the deep ball? I guess the closest you can get to Wilson is Luck, and Denver did lose to Luck in the regular season. They have not played against Cam Newton, they have not played against Kaepernick, they have not played against RGIII (Edit: They did play against RGIII, and it wasn't great, the analysis to this is added below) . So which QB have they played against that is a dual threat? Please don't bring up Terrel Pryor, because he is not even a single threat.
4) RB. BeastMode. This defense will have to defend a dynamic offense because of BeastMode. They have the dual threat of Wilson, but then they also have to worry about BeastMode running on them. Furthermore, they have to worry about Percy. There are 3 threats, all different, from this backfield. You have the pound in Lynch, the flash in Percy and the dual threat of Wilson.
5) Manning's biggest weapon is reading defenses. Mostly presnap. Unfortunately for Manning, as Cosell said yesterday on the Herd, this is NOT a scheme defense. It's not a defense which attempts to trick you into thinking they are playing something other than they are playing. This is an execution defense, which means they line up, they play zone underneath, press man on the outside, with 1 safety over the top. That's 65% of the defense. The other defense they play is man. They rarely blitz, they rarely attempt to trick you into guessing the scheme. They let you know what they are going to play. So Manning's biggest strength is worthless against this defense.
Basically, this is the perfect TYPE of team for the Seahawks to play. They know exactly what they are going to get. Even if Denver were a slightly better team than the Seahawks, this would be an overmatch for Denver, due to the matchup problems of the two teams. Unfortunately for them, the Seahawks are the better team. Add that to the matchup issues, and this results in a blowout for the Hawks. My prediction: 34-17 Seahawks.
Edit: Denver did play against RGIII and the Redskins. It was not a steller performance. As we know RGIII has had a horrible year this year. He was still injured to some extent during this week 8 game. That said, he had an OK game with the exception of his turnovers. RGIII/team turned it over an amazing 5 times. 5 times! They will not get anywhere close to this against Wilson and the Hawks. RGIII and the redskins actually did a good job against Denver. They got 22 first downs and 266 total yards. They rushed all over the Broncos with a back similar to Lynch in Morriss. The final score was 45 to 21, but if memory servers RGIII and his team were up by 2 TDs until they completely fell apart in the 2nd half.
Last edited by plyka
on Fri Jan 24, 2014 12:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.