bigskydoc wrote:No contact sports? UFC is already up and running. NHL small groups are on the ice. Jiu Jitsu gyms are already fully re-opened, and our tournaments are being scheduled. Fauci can say what he wants, but he has no authority to stop the NFL from having a season, and the US appetite for shutting down is pretty sated.
Now, there may be no fans in attendance, but, barring an overwhelming resurgence of da Rona, there will be an NFL season.
Right, except an NFL team has 53 on the primary roster, a practice squad, plus guys rehabbing.
This time of year that's about 90 guys.
Add support staff, and we're talking easily 150 people at the VMAC on a given practice day.
UFC events involve a few dozen people, at most, and training can happen in small groups.
NHL as you note only has small groups doing things.
I just think there's a really really really huge difference when you look at the number of people involved with a given football team, and the extended close contact, both in training and in events.
NBA has 12 man rosters, so roughly 1/4th of a typical NFL roster.
MLB has 25 man rosters, and quite a few of those guys won't see action on a given day, so they could even play games with something like 12 or 15 man rosters. So call that 1/2 or 1/3rd.
When you look at the way the virus spreads, it's significant that the number of people is dramatically less. Having 1/4th of the number of people involved (NBA) might mean that the odds of transmission are 1/20th as much, or even more.
I haven't even started talking about the fact that NFL has 22 players (two teams) on the field at a time, all of which can come in close proximity on any given play, vs NBA having 10 players, vs MLB having a similar player count but usually only the catcher and batter at the plate are in close proximity.
These are ALL very different things.