We are all expecting the Hawks to be favored in these games, and most are expecting them to win all four. Today on 710, Heaps said something along the lines of "not to overlook the upcoming opponents, but this could be like the preseason we didn't have." Sentiment on the subreddit and twitter is certainly that the Hawks should be 11-3 going into the rematch vs. the Rams.
According to the updated 538 ELO projections, the Hawks are:
68% likely to beat the Eagles
79% likelihood to beat the Giants
89% likelihood to beat the Jets
69% likelihood to beat the Redskins
We are handy favorites in all, but for those doing the math that only adds up to 3.05 expected wins.
So how likely is it that we will win all four of these "easy" games? There are 16 possible outcomes and you can calculate the likelihood of each by multiplying the probabilities together and then adding similar outcomes. The chart below shows the results of this calculation.
The odds of winning all four games is only around 1/3 likely and three wins is a more reasonable expectation. One of the best ways to have a movie ruined for yourself is for somebody else to recommend it as the greatest movie ever. Weighted against expectations, this upcoming stretch is going to be more difficult than our previous stretch against teams that fans knew were tough opponents.
Of course the good news is that each win makes it far more likely we can get the sweep:
W vs. Eagles = 48% likely to win all four.
W vs. Eagles, Giants = 61% likely to win all four.
W vs. Eagles, Giants, Jets = 69% likely to win all four.