GemCity wrote:sdog1981 wrote:Before Sunday the last competitive football game Lance played in was on January 11th, 2020. He has not played in a game in over 600 days. Since his senior year in high school, he has only played 16 games at the FCS level. This dude is basically a high school QB getting thrown into the NFL deep end.
Most important reply in this thread. 16 games…at North Dakota State.
He wasn’t going to come in and light the league on fire. He was drafted for his physical traits including a cannon of an arm. I wouldn’t be surprised if we see above average play from him the last half of the season and a great career ahead. I wouldn’t bet my house on it but….if you consider how “raw” he is, the experience and work SF does with him may turn this guy into something special.
Name the last time a QB started 16 games or less in college (The FCS level no less) and became a superstar in the NFL? I literally couldn't find any digging through the history of the league. He would be the outlier of all outliers. Wilson was an outlier too, but you could point to Fran Tarkenton as a reference point to a shorter QB having great success in the league. With Trey Lance I can't point to anyone. (16 games or less)
The closest example I could find was Cam Newton. A big, athletic QB, with enough size to run QB power as part of your regular offense, while possessing a huge arm that can attack downfield. The difference is Cam started more games in college, and dominated the SEC (that's a big difference).
My early eval of Trey is Poorman's Newton. Newton had an up and down career, and flamed out once he hit his 30's. That is not worth THREE 1sts & a 3rd to select him.
Trey has a lot of physical gifts, but damn he is green. Just about every layer of QB you can measure he needs a lot of work, much more than Cam needed, and he never quite got there btw. And I can see why Kyle is trying to shelve him for a year before he begins attempting to develop him in earnest. Ultimately though, it's Kyle's fault for not getting him ready, as he just basically tried to redshirt him. Which makes no sense when you know Jimmy is injury prone. I've been very unimpressed with how Kyle has handled the development (lack there of) of Trey Lance.
And it will make the people who look at this thing deeper, that maybe Kyle is in a feud with management? He wanted Mac Jones, and management wanted Trey Lance, maybe? That's the only way some of Kyle's oddball choices make any sense.