fridayfrenzy":fqt5p45z said:
1. The agents and teams would have a general idea of what the future salary cap figures will be. It is based off of a formula and it would not be difficult to make projections.
2. I'd argue that the agent is also looking at the % of the cap used and not just dollar value comparables from previous contracts. The increase in the salary cap is like inflation. If the player isn't going to market and being able to find out their value, then they will compare to previous year contracts and apply the inflation rate.
e.g. It is a broad generalization because the contract is made up of many years, guaranteed money and bonuses, etc. but if Cam Newton receives 15% of the salary cap in 2015, then Russell Wilson will be expecting 15% of the cap in 2016.
No. No one guessed the current cap number right until maybe a week before it was confirmed. You can't base hard dollars on guesses. The cap growth over the next two years is entirely dependent upon
future revenues, which can't be guessed to an exact number and will depend on a variety of variables.
In the real world, inflation also lags behind money supply growth. Prices don't increase because people
guess that the money supply might grow in two years. It happens after the fact. You don't base the price of your house on what you think
might happen with the money supply. You base it on what your neighbor got for his house six months ago.
