I’m saying statistically you could make the argument he was top 3. He was top 3 in td/int %, touchdowns, passer rating, GW drives etc for a ten year period.
There have been multiple hall of fame QBs with terrible stretches.
Its early. If he rebounds next year and the next few years he’s a lock.
No he isn't, even if Wilson rebounds -- he's not a lock. In fact he's on the outside looking in at this point. Efficiency numbers are not what people are going to look at. The HOF is all about narrative. Shaun Alexander has HOF level statistics, but he's also unlikely to get in any time soon. Why? His running style and the two guys he played behind happened to be first ballot HOF lineman.
Wilson does not have a single all-pro or MVP to his name. The narrative surrounding his Super Bowl victory lied with Marshawn Lynch and the LOB defense, Wilson was merely an afterthought. In the playoffs he didn't really have many defining moments and in the SuperBowl the LOB held the NFL's most dominant offense in NFL history to a mere 8 points. In 2014, the biggest narrative was Wilson throwing a game ending interception on the one yard line.
Bulk statistics? Nope, Wilson is behind many of his contemporaries, in fact even Kirk Cousins is catching up pretty quickly there and he wasn't even a full time starter until his 4th season. Wilson didn't lead any particularly prolific offenses either. Russell Wilson's postseason record post LOB is dismal. No other QB has lost as much as he has since 2015 in the postseason.
Wilson has always been looked at with a skeptical eye by analyst and pundits. Hell, even his own teammates and some Seahawk fans alike have always looked at him with skepticism. Kurt Warner has been sounding the alarms about Wilson for years now. Earlier than that others have marveled at how rudimentary the offense that Seattle ran was.
Now, we've seen Wilson try to run the WCO offense for the past two years and he's failed miserably. He's had THE largest drop off of any QB in history from one team to the next. He's become a whipping boy for the media because of his antics and how he is conducting himself. He's also orchestrating one of the worst NFL offenses in the modern era.
So, in essence his efficiency numbers mean jack. He's not even top in his era in that regard either. Aaron Rodgers beats him there handily. His 4th quarter comebacks are also overshadowed by the fact that his postseason record post LOB is awful and the LOB themselves cast a giant shadow on anything Wilson has ever done in the NFL. Marshawn Lynch also was viewed as the leader of the offense during the Super Bowl years by the pundits.
Right now Wilson's biggest legacy is "they should have ran the ball". He's not getting in unless he has a massive turn around. His bulk numbers in the modern era aren't great, even though he has a Super Bowl, Lynch and the LOB casts a giant shadow over that. Post LOB his playoff success is horrendous, no other QB has lost more. The trade showcased all of the areas where Wilson was deficient as a player as he's failing to do even basic stuff as he orchestrates an offense that is among the worst in the modern era. Lock and Bridgewater ran a more potent offense, let that sink in for a moment. He's also putting up one of the worst records on a team that has one of the best defenses in the NFL at the moment.
Wilson's legacy is toast, you're deluding yourself if you think he is a HOFer at this point. If anything, Wilson just boosted Carroll's coaching credentials more than anything.