Rocket
Active member
Are any of those "experts" ex-players, or just "journalists"...
Journalism is dead, BTW.
Journalism is dead, BTW.
NBC SPORTS picks niners to cruise
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formido":ze61jo2h said:
Agreed and that's pretty much what I was saying earlier about San Fran being a "public" team (like the Cowboys). A LOT of dumb money flows into San Fran (and Dallas) simply because they are San Fran and that makes lines more favorable for San Fran than they should be. As you note, even without the San Fran effect, insider "pro" money has done very well with Seattle this year. Seattle has an impressive record against the number (and as I noted earlier actually beat the number vs SF even in SF).
Hasselbeck
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formido":jf7b0sl1 said:
Article says basically what I was saying
"Lay the extra juice to get Seattle at -3, and make a smaller play on the UNDER."
I myself would wait until Sunday .. cause I think the line will actually go to -3 with all the late Niners money (ESPECIALLY if Percy is out) .. then you can buy that half point to get away from a push.
RolandDeschain
Well-known member
People see what they want to see, and feel what they want to feel. Prisco's actually got a pretty good record of having our backs a lot of the time the past couple years.Missing_Clink":163ges4c said:
Polaris":2al3lupa said:
I didn't say Vegas was picking SF to win 75% of the time. First off, Vegas wants SF to win exactly 50% of the time. 2nd, I believe the OP was talking about a team of panelists. It is them, that perhaps unknowingly, are picking SF to win (75% of the time).
Further, you are correct, SF won in SF but failed to cover. That was not a play off game. The 75% rules I suggest applies to the play offs, regardless of spread total (-3.5...-10...what have you).
loafoftatupu
Active member
Who didn't see this coming.
Every media outlet around has made a story about how awful the Hawks are and how fantastic the Niners are.
Shit is going to get real and the NBC crew will be reminded of why the Hawks are 15-1 in the last two years at home.
My god they lost a game at home and a 2 point squeaker in SF. Obviously they are going to lose.
Every media outlet around has made a story about how awful the Hawks are and how fantastic the Niners are.
Shit is going to get real and the NBC crew will be reminded of why the Hawks are 15-1 in the last two years at home.
My god they lost a game at home and a 2 point squeaker in SF. Obviously they are going to lose.
Hasselbeck":kmftyg6u said:
I am a fan of buying numbers down but I wouldn't buy this number down. Just bet the team you believe will win. The winner will cover many more times than not. Personally, I see us winning by no less than a TD and a score of 27-17, I think quite likely. I would actually be confident enough to parlay the over (39) with Seattle -3.5. But that's just me. YMMV.
loafoftatupu
Active member
Polaris":zt77uxkf said:
Exactly that.
Plus they had an extra game to win, giving the perception of even more momentum
loafoftatupu
Active member
What is really funny is that Heath Evans, who usually counters the Hawks has mentioned that very thing. He even pointed to the game in SF, saying that if anyone has confidence or backing for their ability it is Seattle.
He said;
"that game in SF went back and forth and the Niners won by what? 2? When the Niners came to Seattle they got their heads smashed twice. You think that the Niners are ready for that? I'm taking Seattle at home every time"
That was Heath Evans, who is impossible to convince at times. Pointed out that the Saints weren't even in the game until the end and that most of that was garbage. Of all people, Evans..
He said;
"that game in SF went back and forth and the Niners won by what? 2? When the Niners came to Seattle they got their heads smashed twice. You think that the Niners are ready for that? I'm taking Seattle at home every time"
That was Heath Evans, who is impossible to convince at times. Pointed out that the Saints weren't even in the game until the end and that most of that was garbage. Of all people, Evans..
loafoftatupu":2vljx8i8 said:
Exactly and diminished returns are in their immediate forecast. They just put a lot of cross country miles on and regardless of how 'pumped" they are, they can't be rested. In this case, where both teams know each other so well, our additional rest should be a huge (if not deciding) factor.
loafoftatupu":rdxgwmic said:
Dunno what's up with Evans kissing Hawkass these days. Even picked us to beat the Pats (if that game were to be played). With his ridiculous (and undeserved) ego, he may be delusional enough to think he's in consideration for the ring of honor or something.
