NFL Sports Betting Thread

Hawk-Lock · Sep 15, 2015

For those of you who like to indulge in a little extra fun on Thursdays, Sundays and Monday's

Feel free to discuss games, lines, betting strategies, etc.

Also, if this is in the wrong section, Mods feel free to move to the correct subforum.

IndyHawk · Sep 15, 2015

Are you the one who always talked about how you made big$ gambling?I think it would nice to see examples of how you would bet every week,How much you would have won "wink".Help us clueless ones out with some of your expertise.

Hawk-Lock · Sep 15, 2015

IndyHawk":1oy899cn said:
Are you the one who always talked about how you made big$ gambling?I think it would nice to see examples of how you would bet every week,How much you would have won "wink".Help us clueless ones out with some of your expertise.

That's not me. Hah, I've never bragged about it because to be honest I've had good runs and bad ones. I'll try to post my picks in here. NFL is not even my best sport for betting, but to say the least, I am addicted to sports gambling and fantasy football. As much as I love sports and the NFL, it's hard for me to watch a game without action on it or fantasy implications (aside from the Seahawks).

Hawk-Lock · Sep 15, 2015

FlyHawksFly":38hbtiza said:
Hawk-Lock":38hbtiza said:

IndyHawk":38hbtiza said:

Are you the one who always talked about how you made big$ gambling?I think it would nice to see examples of how you would bet every week,How much you would have won "wink".Help us clueless ones out with some of your expertise.

Click to expand...

That's not me. Hah, I've never bragged about it because to be honest I've had good runs and bad ones. I'll try to post my picks in here. NFL is not my best sport for betting, but to say the least, I am addicted to sports gambling and fantasy football. As much as I love sports and the NFL, it's hard for me to watch a game without action on it or fantasy implications (aside from the Seahawks).

Click to expand...

That's kinda sad.

Yes i know.

Hasselbeck · Sep 16, 2015

IndyHawk":2ubuacbb said:
Are you the one who always talked about how you made big$ gambling?I think it would nice to see examples of how you would bet every week,How much you would have won "wink".Help us clueless ones out with some of your expertise.

That was HawkWow I believe

One of my favorite strategies is to fade the heavy public favorite. I also like to bet on home dogs, especially in the NFL.

Right now the Bears-Cardinals game looks like one of those plays.

hawksfansinceday1 · Sep 16, 2015

Hasselbeck":10alcwln said:
IndyHawk":10alcwln said:

Are you the one who always talked about how you made big$ gambling?I think it would nice to see examples of how you would bet every week,How much you would have won "wink".Help us clueless ones out with some of your expertise.

Click to expand...

That was HawkWow I believe.............

Yes it was. I for one miss his contributions to this site.

Hawk-Lock · Sep 16, 2015

KC -3 (1x)

I'm taking this as I think there is a chance this line moves past a field goal. I don't see how Peyton survives the KC pass rush. Arrowhead is probably the 2nd toughest place to play after the CLink.

Lean: Bears, Bills, Browns, Vikings, Raiders, Philly, ATL, and Colts

And c'mon, I know there are other degenerates out there just like me :lol: Chime in fellas!

original poster · Sep 16, 2015

Managed to pick up Lockett to score first last Sunday at 16/1 which I was very happy about!

I tend to do a small bet on 12 games per week @ about 180-200/1 and a bet on 5 games all to win at about 20/1.

UK_Seahawk · Sep 17, 2015

FlyHawksFly":2jzmkpc1 said:
Hawk-Lock":2jzmkpc1 said:

IndyHawk":2jzmkpc1 said:

Are you the one who always talked about how you made big$ gambling?I think it would nice to see examples of how you would bet every week,How much you would have won "wink".Help us clueless ones out with some of your expertise.

Click to expand...

That's not me. Hah, I've never bragged about it because to be honest I've had good runs and bad ones. I'll try to post my picks in here. NFL is not my best sport for betting, but to say the least, I am addicted to sports gambling and fantasy football. As much as I love sports and the NFL, it's hard for me to watch a game without action on it or fantasy implications (aside from the Seahawks).

Click to expand...

That's kinda sad.

Why is it? I've never bet on NFL but having Fantasy teams makes the non Seahawk games much more interesting.

Hawk-Lock · Sep 17, 2015

Hawk-Lock":2s7x9aaq said:
KC -3 (1x)

I'm taking this as I think there is a chance this line moves past a field goal. I don't see how Peyton survives the KC pass rush. Arrowhead is probably the 2nd toughest place to play after the CLink.

Lean: Bears, Bills, Browns, Vikings, Raiders, Philly, ATL, and Colts

And c'mon, I know there are other degenerates out there just like me :lol: Chime in fellas!

Hammering down on Chiefs tonight.

Also taking them:

Chiefs ML -160 (2x) (3.2 to win 2)

This game reminds me a little of when NE went to KC last year on primetime and got blown out. Apparently the wind is blowing at arrowhead, don't see how Peyton holds up against that pass rush plus the wind conditions.

HOLLYWOOD · Sep 17, 2015

Pardon my ignorance, but does the -160 mean you'd need to bet $160 to win $100?

mbtitleist · Sep 17, 2015

HOLLYWOOD":30umrc5y said:
Pardon my ignorance, but does the -160 mean you'd need to bet $160 to win $100?

Yes.

HOLLYWOOD · Sep 17, 2015

mbtitleist":3gei1za2 said:
HOLLYWOOD":3gei1za2 said:

Pardon my ignorance, but does the -160 mean you'd need to bet $160 to win $100?

Click to expand...

Yes.

Thanks. Sportsbooks know how to make a profit for sure.

mbtitleist · Sep 17, 2015

HOLLYWOOD":1besn16d said:
mbtitleist":1besn16d said:

HOLLYWOOD":1besn16d said:

Pardon my ignorance, but does the -160 mean you'd need to bet $160 to win $100?

Click to expand...

Yes.

Click to expand...

Thanks. Sportsbooks know how to make a profit for sure.

Not every bet takes that much money to win $100. If you were to bet on the Broncos money line they are probably something like +140, so for every $100 you'd win $140. If you go against the spread you'll usually see -110.

HOLLYWOOD · Sep 17, 2015

mbtitleist":1myu4brr said:
HOLLYWOOD":1myu4brr said:

mbtitleist":1myu4brr said:

HOLLYWOOD":1myu4brr said:

Pardon my ignorance, but does the -160 mean you'd need to bet $160 to win $100?

Click to expand...

Yes.

Click to expand...

Thanks. Sportsbooks know how to make a profit for sure.

Click to expand...

Not every bet takes that much money to win $100. If you were to bet on the Broncos money line they are probably something like +140, so for every $100 you'd win $140. If you go against the spread you'll usually see -110.

I've always wondered what that was. Makes sense now when I see it on NHL or MLB games. Thanks for the education.

Hasselbeck · Sep 18, 2015

Hawk-Lock":3mi68a4v said:
Hawk-Lock":3mi68a4v said:

KC -3 (1x)

I'm taking this as I think there is a chance this line moves past a field goal. I don't see how Peyton survives the KC pass rush. Arrowhead is probably the 2nd toughest place to play after the CLink.

Lean: Bears, Bills, Browns, Vikings, Raiders, Philly, ATL, and Colts

And c'mon, I know there are other degenerates out there just like me :lol: Chime in fellas!

Click to expand...

Hammering down on Chiefs tonight.

Also taking them:

Chiefs ML -160 (2x) (3.2 to win 2)

This game reminds me a little of when NE went to KC last year on primetime and got blown out. Apparently the wind is blowing at arrowhead, don't see how Peyton holds up against that pass rush plus the wind conditions.

Tough beat man.

Hawk-Lock · Sep 18, 2015

Hasselbeck":32pta4or said:
Hawk-Lock":32pta4or said:

Hawk-Lock":32pta4or said:

KC -3 (1x)

I'm taking this as I think there is a chance this line moves past a field goal. I don't see how Peyton survives the KC pass rush. Arrowhead is probably the 2nd toughest place to play after the CLink.

Lean: Bears, Bills, Browns, Vikings, Raiders, Philly, ATL, and Colts

And c'mon, I know there are other degenerates out there just like me :lol: Chime in fellas!

Click to expand...

Hammering down on Chiefs tonight.

Also taking them:

Chiefs ML -160 (2x) (3.2 to win 2)

This game reminds me a little of when NE went to KC last year on primetime and got blown out. Apparently the wind is blowing at arrowhead, don't see how Peyton holds up against that pass rush plus the wind conditions.

Click to expand...

Tough beat man.

Yeah brutal. Very few games leave a sick feeling in my stomach, this game managed to do it. Oh well, got to move on.

Hasselbeck · Sep 18, 2015

NFL Lines I Like:
- Colts (-7) .. after a straight up loss they are 12-1 ATS

- Ravens (-6) .. Raiders defense is a mess, Flacco usually plays well following a loss.. and the Ravens themselves are 19-6-1 as a road favorite the week after they were a road dog.

- Giants (-2.5) .. Falcons just a different team outside of the dome, playing on a short week against a Giants team that pissed away a W they should have had against the Cowboys. No trends here, just a hunch play

I really like the Seahawks ML too, probably because I'm a homer.. and also hoping to see them at +4 by kickoff .. +3.5 is not as ideal as that extra half point

Dog plays I like:

- Browns +1 .. No real reason, just a hunch
- Bills +1 .. I think they win straight up, hoping some late Pats money pushes this to +1.5
- Bears +2 .. 10AM kick for the Cardinals and 87% of the public are HAMMERING the Cards. Smells like a trap
- Redskins +3 .. Just think the Rams are ripe for a let down game.

Hawk-Lock · Sep 18, 2015

Hasselbeck":1vejaz7o said:
NFL Lines I Like:
- Colts (-7) .. after a straight up loss they are 12-1 ATS

- Ravens (-6) .. Raiders defense is a mess, Flacco usually plays well following a loss.. and the Ravens themselves are 19-6-1 as a road favorite the week after they were a road dog.

- Giants (-2.5) .. Falcons just a different team outside of the dome, playing on a short week against a Giants team that pissed away a W they should have had against the Cowboys. No trends here, just a hunch play

I really like the Seahawks ML too, probably because I'm a homer.. and also hoping to see them at +4 by kickoff .. +3.5 is not as ideal as that extra half point

Dog plays I like:

- Browns +1 .. No real reason, just a hunch
- Bills +1 .. I think they win straight up, hoping some late Pats money pushes this to +1.5
- Bears +2 .. 10AM kick for the Cardinals and 87% of the public are HAMMERING the Cards. Smells like a trap
- Redskins +3 .. Just think the Rams are ripe for a let down game.

I like all the dogs you listed. I've seen a lot of people taking the Titans in MizzouHawk's Survivor pool, got a feeling it's going to end bad for them. The Titans were one of the worst teams last year, they beat the worst team in the NFL and now everyone thinks they are good :lol:

This will be the Bills superbowl. They are for real and Rex knows Brady very well.

I'm not crazy about taking the Bears and Skins, but I think they are a good bett. Westcoast teams going out east to play a 1pm est game never a bad bet. Keep an eye on Alshon Jeffery, he may not play. Think I may just take both on the ML, so if they split I still come out on top.

Saints, Steelers, Colts and Eagles look like good bets to bounce back at home with wins. I'd be pretty shocked if any of those 4 teams lost. I may have to put them in a ML parlay. I had my eye on Minnesota, but not sure what to make of the line movement....Detroit is usually a good fade on the road.

hawksfansinceday1 · Sep 18, 2015

I'm with you guys on Bears and Bills. Don't like Racist Nicknames though. I get what you're thinking about the Lambs and a letdown, but I just think D. C. is so bad it doesn't matter.

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