sutz":5v0nabwa said:Interesting discussions, but I like the simple option. Win the games ahead of us. :snack:
That’s the toughest option. Much easier to go 1-1 than 2-0.
Go ATL, MIN and PHI
sutz":5v0nabwa said:Interesting discussions, but I like the simple option. Win the games ahead of us. :snack:
Mad Dog":44c4o7ob said:Polaris":44c4o7ob said:Mad Dog":44c4o7ob said:Strength of victory is the winning percentage of all opponents not just the three each you guys are mentioning. Since we played all but 4 common teams the only winning percentage that matters for SoV is that of MIN+PHI vs Wash+GB. That currently stands at 17 to 14.
We need one more PHI or MIN win to clinch SOV. Or a WASH or GB loss.
It is the total Win-loss records of the teams we have beaten. That means that New Orleans is counted for San Fran and Atlanta is counted for us which also hurts us. SoS favors Seattle.
Sorry. I mixed up SoS with SoV.
sutz":1wdyaxqt said:Interesting discussions, but I like the simple option. Win the games ahead of us. :snack:
knownone":udiex47z said:Where we currently stand there is about a 10% chance of that scenario happening. So what's being said is mostly accurate, it's just not impossible. Seriously, you're describing a scenario where Seattle would need the Falcons, Vikings, and Eagles to go 5-1 during the next two weeks, and the Packers, Redskins, and Saints to go 3-4. It's possible, but incredibly unlikely.Scorpion05":udiex47z said:The idea that the Niners have too big a lead in strength of victory is not accurate. This is being spread around too much.
It's obviously not a guarantee, but we can technically win the division still if :
The Packers, Redskins, Saints lose a combined 4 games, and the Falcons, Vikings, and Eagles win a combined 5. If that happens, then Week 17 won't matter if the Rams win in Week 16. This is based on the 538 simulation
JonRud":1y7ssxyi said:with the Saints win tonight - it's extremely unlikely the Seahawks are going to catch SF on SOV. We now trail by 3 games.
In order to just tie, we need 'our teams' to go 6-0 vs. 3-3, 5-1 vs 2-4, etc...
'Our' teams are Falcons (vs Jax, at TB), Vikings (vs. GB, vs Chi), Eagles (vs. Dal, at NYG)
'SF' teams are Saints (at Ten, at Car) Packers (at Min, at Det) Redskins (vs. NYG, at Dal)
I agree with the poster above, I'd say this is 10% likely (tops) to happen. We also need the Rams to win in SF to make this scenario even matter, so I'd say overall it's about 3-4% chance that the Seahawks are going to win the NFC West based on the 'Strength of Victory' tiebreaker over SF.
95%+ chance the Hawks need to beat SF in Week 17 to win the NFC West.
Anajimmc":36lvn6z4 said:What matters is LA physically kicking the crap out of them. I don't care if they win or lose, but I want to see them in pain.
SoulfishHawk":36lvn6z4 said:Anaj makes a good point, the 29ers having to play the Rams before our game is perfect. Rams are a pretty physical team and hopefully they'll beat the crap out of Santa Clara.