W
Welshers
Guest
538 gives them a 4% chance! We're still alive folks! Run the table!
jamescasey1124":pban2jkw said:Plus, alot of these teams are criminally overrated. That's why a majority of the nfc is barely 500 or below.
RiverDog":3btlbvv7 said:I realize that's mostly tongue-in-cheek meant as a joke and I am by no means optimistic about advancing to the post season, but our chances are likely a little better than 4%.
Those odds are calculated on historical results, in other words, how often does a team with a 3-7 record with 6 games (or now 7 games) left make the playoffs?
This is an extremely unusual year in that there are so many teams that are hovering at or just below the .500 mark. If you eliminate the 4 division leaders in our conference, ie Tampa Bay, Green Bay, Arizona, and Dallas, the remaining records for the 3 wild cards are as follows:
Rams 7-3, Eagles 5-6, Saints 5-5, Vikings 5-5, WFT 4-6, Panthers 5-6, Falcons 4-6, Niners 5-5.
The Rams are the only team with a lock on a playoff spot. We're only 2 games off the pace with 7 games left to play for one of the two remaining seeds. I would say that's a little better than a 1 in 20 chance.
Mizak":wuwnpei0 said:RiverDog":wuwnpei0 said:I realize that's mostly tongue-in-cheek meant as a joke and I am by no means optimistic about advancing to the post season, but our chances are likely a little better than 4%.
Those odds are calculated on historical results, in other words, how often does a team with a 3-7 record with 6 games (or now 7 games) left make the playoffs?
This is an extremely unusual year in that there are so many teams that are hovering at or just below the .500 mark. If you eliminate the 4 division leaders in our conference, ie Tampa Bay, Green Bay, Arizona, and Dallas, the remaining records for the 3 wild cards are as follows:
Rams 7-3, Eagles 5-6, Saints 5-5, Vikings 5-5, WFT 4-6, Panthers 5-6, Falcons 4-6, Niners 5-5.
The Rams are the only team with a lock on a playoff spot. We're only 2 games off the pace with 7 games left to play for one of the two remaining seeds. I would say that's a little better than a 1 in 20 chance.
Out of those 7 teams besides the Rams, the Eagles, Vikings, and WFT look more competent. The Vikings wins and losses are by like 7 or less points except the Seahawks game. Eagles have won 3 out of their last 4 games, and WFT is on a mini 2 game winning streak having beat the GOAT Brady and the Panthers. Saints on a 3 game losing streak ever since they beat Seahawks, Falcons blown on back to back games by *owboys and Patriots, and Panthers hovering over .500. Niners need to show more cuz they looking more like Jekyll and Hyde.
Mizak":xfofphxw said:RiverDog":xfofphxw said:I realize that's mostly tongue-in-cheek meant as a joke and I am by no means optimistic about advancing to the post season, but our chances are likely a little better than 4%.
Those odds are calculated on historical results, in other words, how often does a team with a 3-7 record with 6 games (or now 7 games) left make the playoffs?
This is an extremely unusual year in that there are so many teams that are hovering at or just below the .500 mark. If you eliminate the 4 division leaders in our conference, ie Tampa Bay, Green Bay, Arizona, and Dallas, the remaining records for the 3 wild cards are as follows:
Rams 7-3, Eagles 5-6, Saints 5-5, Vikings 5-5, WFT 4-6, Panthers 5-6, Falcons 4-6, Niners 5-5.
The Rams are the only team with a lock on a playoff spot. We're only 2 games off the pace with 7 games left to play for one of the two remaining seeds. I would say that's a little better than a 1 in 20 chance.
Out of those 7 teams besides the Rams, the Eagles, Vikings, and WFT look more competent. The Vikings wins and losses are by like 7 or less points except the Seahawks game. Eagles have won 3 out of their last 4 games, and WFT is on a mini 2 game winning streak having beat the GOAT Brady and the Panthers. Saints on a 3 game losing streak ever since they beat Seahawks, Falcons blown on back to back games by *owboys and Patriots, and Panthers hovering over .500. Niners need to show more cuz they looking more like Jekyll and Hyde.
RiverDog":35ad6r6s said:Rams 7-3, Eagles 5-6, Saints 5-5, Vikings 5-5, WFT 4-6, Panthers 5-6, Falcons 4-6, Niners 5-5.
The Rams are the only team with a lock on a playoff spot. We're only 2 games off the pace with 7 games left to play for one of the two remaining seeds. I would say that's a little better than a 1 in 20 chance.
jamescasey1124":18t3dw1k said:Ok so we are all saying the same thing. Some teams aren't that bad and some are. Independent of their records. Cuz om any given day they have proven they either aren't or are contenders. Seahawks are doing the same thing. We've played tight ones with better teams. Then lost to teams we shouldn't have. I still think we have a chance. I know because they pack barely beat us and so did the cards. Both of those teams really pulling it out in the end of the game. Which is traditionally more of a seahawks thing.
RiverDog":x73yf6ru said:jamescasey1124":x73yf6ru said:Ok so we are all saying the same thing. Some teams aren't that bad and some are. Independent of their records. Cuz om any given day they have proven they either aren't or are contenders. Seahawks are doing the same thing. We've played tight ones with better teams. Then lost to teams we shouldn't have. I still think we have a chance. I know because they pack barely beat us and so did the cards. Both of those teams really pulling it out in the end of the game. Which is traditionally more of a seahawks thing.
The Packers barely beat us? They shut us out 17-0. They had 185 more yards than we had, controlled the ball for 39 minutes to our 21, and missed a very makable FG. Similar story with the Cards, nearly identical TOP, same skewed stats, missed FG's made the game look closer than it was. We were beaten decisively in both games.
RiverDog":16r6lups said:jamescasey1124":16r6lups said:Ok so we are all saying the same thing. Some teams aren't that bad and some are. Independent of their records. Cuz om any given day they have proven they either aren't or are contenders. Seahawks are doing the same thing. We've played tight ones with better teams. Then lost to teams we shouldn't have. I still think we have a chance. I know because they pack barely beat us and so did the cards. Both of those teams really pulling it out in the end of the game. Which is traditionally more of a seahawks thing.
The Packers barely beat us? They shut us out 17-0. They had 185 more yards than we had, controlled the ball for 39 minutes to our 21, and missed a very makable FG. Similar story with the Cards, nearly identical TOP, same skewed stats, missed FG's made the game look closer than it was. We were beaten decisively in both games.
hawkfan68":foibj2yg said:What sucks even more is they are on their way to a top 10 pick in the 2022 NFL draft which they could desperately use and have gifted it to the Jets.
nutluck":j38587ar said:hawkfan68":j38587ar said:What sucks even more is they are on their way to a top 10 pick in the 2022 NFL draft which they could desperately use and have gifted it to the Jets.
Currently with tie breakers etc I believe the hawks would have the 5th pick... i mean the jets would.
tie breakers and team recordsxray":5taom6ev said:nutluck":5taom6ev said:hawkfan68":5taom6ev said:What sucks even more is they are on their way to a top 10 pick in the 2022 NFL draft which they could desperately use and have gifted it to the Jets.
Currently with tie breakers etc I believe the hawks would have the 5th pick... i mean the jets would.
Etc. ?
jamescasey1124":2shethpn said:Negative. Pack barely scored until late 3rd then beat us down with a big ass back. When our d was done for...then they scored. It wasnt a straight up ass whooping. Plus we had opportunities to score and in red zone. Offense made mistakes.
Same with cards game. Game didn't get out of hand until 3rd late. Arguably the 4th. Field goals made it closer with misses, but they hardly whooped our asses again.
It was more of a beat your self then the opposing team imposing their will. Very winnable games. Both of them.