23.8% chance of winning against the Chargers?

[toffee]

ESPN predictor gave us less than 24% of winning, that is close to zero chances.


But overall the two teams are more even stats wise, identical points allowed per game and almost identical points scored.

 

[AgentDib]

The moneyline is +260 which translates to 27.78% odds. A bit better but not much.

It's probably fair. Our defense hasn't shown up on the road yet this season and opponents are averaging a whopping 37 points per game. Third parties will be skeptical until the defense shows that it can do something without a home crowd.

We do get the Chargers on a short week and we haven't seen what kind of injuries they sustain in their game tonight. Ekeler is a little bit like their version of Rashaad Penny - outstanding RB when healthy but a really long history of injuries.

 

[LeveeBreak]

The moneyline is +260 which translates to 27.78% odds. A bit better but not much.

It's probably fair. Our defense hasn't shown up on the road yet this season and opponents are averaging a whopping 37 points per game. Third parties will be skeptical until the defense shows that it can do something without a home crowd.

We do get the Chargers on a short week and we haven't seen what kind of injuries they sustain in their game tonight. Ekeler is a little bit like their version of Rashaad Penny - outstanding RB when healthy but a really long history of injuries.

Yep...based on the data, I don't think the objective odds are off base. Subjectively, I think we have a better shot at winning the game than 25-30%.

 

[TAB420]

That why they play the game.

 

[Sgt. Largent]

ESPN predictor gave us less than 24% of winning, that is close to zero chances.

That's actually 24% higher than 0%.

Math, what it be.

 

[sprhawk73]

Have to agree, especially if the Donks drop another one. This could be the perfect set up for a let-down game for the Chargers.

 

[Hawkpower]

Seattle still suffers from the preseason bias that determined they were going to be bad

 

[Jegpeg]

538 has the seahawks at 30% which to be honest I think is about right, while 24% is a bit low it is near enough 1 in 4 it is not close to zero (0.2% for the tie is the close ot zero chance), this week the jets, steelers and Falcons all won with similar win probabilities. We can beat the Chargers next week but I'm afraid it is more likely we lose.

Since they change the OT rules 0.4% of games have finished in a tie not sure why they think us tieing the chargers is so much less likely that average.

 

[nwHawk]

Well, it won’t be 97 degrees so I’d say Chargers coming off a Monday night game that they must win, gives us a chance to steal one. Seahawks are better than people want to acknowledge. Not having a decent backup running back might be an issue, but I think Seahawks will step up.

 

[flv2]

The moneyline is +260 which translates to 27.78% odds. A bit better but not much.

It's probably fair. Our defense hasn't shown up on the road yet this season and opponents are averaging a whopping 37 points per game. Third parties will be skeptical until the defense shows that it can do something without a home crowd.

We do get the Chargers on a short week and we haven't seen what kind of injuries they sustain in their game tonight. Ekeler is a little bit like their version of Rashaad Penny - outstanding RB when healthy but a really long history of injuries.

Take out the vig and it's down to about 26.8%.

 

[Ruminator]

Barton skewed it. But they don't know yet that he's been grounded, at least to a large degree, for being overly offensive.

 

[toffee]

After six games, Hawks and Bolts scored almost the same points per game, and allowed identical points per game. I am not buying this 24% 76% prediction. I think it will be a 50/50 chance, the team execute better wins a tight game.

I love our chances, go Hawks.

 

[Rainger]

In today's nfl every game is 50 50 regardless of media predictions

 

[Jerhawk]

Chargers are a good club. I'll be studying their tendencies and film tonight vs Denver, and I'll let you guys know later in the week if 23.8% is still a fair number.

 

[Scout]

Chargers year in and year out have a lot of talented squads. What they lack is a creative offense to take advantage of the talent they have. Defensively they could be better with the talent that they field but I think they are trying to figure some things out in the front seven. Their defensive back end on paper is very talented though.

 

[HawkRiderFan]

Well based on this game so far Hawks have a chance

 

[HawkRiderFan]

If Keenan Allen is back that will make it a lot tougher though

 

[Spohawks]

So they are saying there is a chance!

 

[Scout]

Hawks can exploit the miscommunication on the Chargers defensive backend. Chargers front seven though is legit. On offense, the Chargers are very predictable downhill at the moment due to injuries so the Hawks D have to play disciplined gap control and tackle.

 

[Rainger]

Hawks can and will win!