TwistedHusky":1569vgtj said:
Some of you are getting way too emotional about this and while Earl is emotional - I think this is a business decision.
It is in Earl's best interest to hold out for another contract than it is to play his time out on his existing one.
Yes, the fines are heavy. But every game he plays is a potential for him to get injured. Guys HAVE gotten injured in their last year and then lost out on big contracts because of it.
If Earl can hold out and only play 1/3 of the games less that is still a 30% less chance of terrible injury destroying his ability to get a new contract. Especially considering we know he will have to play SOME of the season, just to perform enough to the contract to assure that this counts as a year the Seahawks lose.
Unless you hold the position he will not get another contract, OR that the total value of his next contract is not worth the money he would have made this year....it makes sense for him to hold out as many games as he can. Because in doing, he lessens the chance he gets injured and gets nothing*
*Though, guys who hold out of TC have an interesting habit of getting injured more in the year
Either way, it does not have to be that he hates the Seahawks or isn't respectful, greatful or the rest. He could just be serving his own self interest and his own self interest is best served by playing as little as possible until he can get his (likely last) new contract.
It is a business, and Earl's value is tanking. No team will pay big money to sign a 30 yr old, small, injury prone (recent history), malcontent, distraction, me-guy. He ruined the value of his next contract.
Someone will sign him, he is too good, but it will be for very little guaranteed money. That security he is looking for won't be found. This holdout is going to cost himself multiple millions this year if he takes it up to the limit, and it will cost him in free agency next off-season.
That is bad business.
Earl is screwing over Earl more than he is screwing over the Seahawks. And it is all self-inflicted, he did it to himself.
The better strategy would have been to grit his teeth & bare it, play ball, have the best season of his career, and have teams banging down the door to sign him. Won't happen now.
He is looking at a Sherman type contract with the same very low guarantees at best, at worst a 1 yr prove it deal.
On the open market if Earl just has a typical Earl year he would've netted 5yrs $13-14M APY. 40-50% guaranteed. He easily would've got this with the salary cap going up. Not from the Seahawks, but from another team.
Now post holdout he is looking at 3yrs $8-11M APY, low signing bonus, only yr 1 guaranteed. At best. He actually has to come back from his holdout probably mid-season, and show he can play at a high level. If there are any questions about his ability he will be looking at a 1 yr incentive based prove it contract. The same kind of contract he would have received had he gotten hurt anyway.
Instead now he has no shot at the mega-deal he is looking for. It's a business alright and Earl cost himself millions.