Week 12 Upset picks/w point spread

[drdiags]

So I figure I would add some spice to the upset picks.

The spread as it was on Tuesday.

Favorite	Underdog	Point Spread (as of Tuesday)	Underdog Beats the Spread	Underdog Wins Outright
Saints	@Falcons	7.5	davidonmi	No one
Panthers	@Dolphins	4.0	KCHawkGirl,Seahawkfan80 PUSH	No one
Bears	@Rams	Even	No Upset Pick Possible	No Upset Pick Possible
@Ravens	Jets	4.0	E.C. Laloosh,Smelly McUgly,KCHawkGirl,MANUNITED23	VivaEfrenHerrera,davidonmi
@Texans	Jaguars	10.0	DrDiags,AbsolutNET,RolandDeschain,Smelly McUgly,KCHawkGirl,Cartire	IcedHawk,ivotuk
@Packers	Vikings	5.0	E.C. Laloosh,Smelly McUgly,Erebus,Seahawkfan80	IcedHawk,ivotuk PUSH
@Browns	Steelers	1.0	AbsolutNET,RolandDeschain,KCHawkGirl,MANUNITED23,Seahawkfan80	DrDiags,Smelly McUgly,VivaEfrenHerrera,Erebus
@Lions	Bucs	9.5	DrDiags,AbsolutNET,RolandDeschain,Cartire,Erebus,IcedHawk	ivotuk
@Chiefs	Chargers	5.0	Polaris,Seahawkfan80	Cartire
@Raiders	Titans	1.0	MANUNITED23	Cartire,ivotuk
@Cardinals	Colts	1.0	Polaris,KCHawkGirl	AbsolutNET,ivotuk
@Giants	Cowboys	3.0	Polaris	Smelly McUgly,davidonmi,ivotuk
Broncos	@Patriots	3.0	RolandDeschain,E.C. Laloosh,KCHawkGirl,MANUNITED23	VivaEfrenHerrera,davidonmi,ivotuk
49ers	@Washington	5.0	E.C. Laloosh,davidonmi,KCHawkGirl	Smelly McUgly,Erebus,ivotuk

Final Totals:

Ouright Wins by Underdog : 7
Covers by Underdog : 9
Covers pushed by Underdog : 1
Ties by Underdog : 1

Most incorrect outright win picks : Ivotuk (2)
Most incorrect cover picks : KCHawkGirl (3)

Most correct outright win picks : Ivotuk (5)
Most correct cover picks : RolandDeschain (4)
Most cover pushes : KCHawkGirl, Seahawkfan80 (1)
Most outright win pushes : IcedHawk, Ivotuk (1)


Skunked : no one

 

[AbsolutNET]

Jags
Steelers
Bucs
Colts to win

 

[RolandDeschain]

Jags, Stealers, Bucs, Patriots.

 

[Laloosh]

Rams, Jets, Vikings, Patriots, Redskins

Was tempted to pick the Bucs and Jags and am not doing so, which means they'll probably be the only two upsets.

 

[VivaEfrenHerrera]

Patriots as home dogs?! If I was actually a gambler, that one would get my attention for sure. And the Stealers are going to beat the Browns, that's just what happens in the NFL.

 

[drdiags]

I see the odds are dropping on the Pats/Broncos and NYG/Cowboys from 3 to 2.5. I am going to stick with the odds I grabbed when I first put this together. Just saves me from spinning all week as the line goes up and down.

 

[RolandDeschain]

Doc, don't sweat it, IMO; each week just post what they are at the time and that's fine.

 

[VivaEfrenHerrera]

Oh, I forgot somethin'. The hunch player in me likes the Jets for some silly reason. So: Jets, Stealers, Pats are my picks. (Cots and Titans are pretty easy picks too, but I'll leave those to others...)

 

[Polaris]

My take:

Cowboys (who are better than the Giants....the Giants have been feasting on weak competition and/or competition with third string QBs), Jets (who I think are better than the Ravens), Chargers (I think Rivers even in Arrowhead can get that crucial two scores up), and the Colts (not sold on Arizona) but Luck for all my dislike of him really is the "real deal".

 

[Erebus]

I'll go with the Stealers and Redskins. I hope the Falcons can pull off the upset, but I really don't see it happening, so I'm not going out on that limb.

 

[Smelly McUgly]

I'll take the Jets, Jags, and Vikes to cover, the Steelers, Cowboys, and what the hell, the Proud Indigenous Peoples to win outright.

 

[Cartire]

So are we playing ATS now? Or is it still upset victory?

 

[drdiags]

So are we playing ATS now? Or is it still upset victory?

As a non-gambling dude, sorry for my wording. I want to use the spread to determine if you got it right. So yes, Jags lose by 9, you win if you pick them. Am I doing that right? I am a newbie on the whole spread thing.

Plus some have used the word cover and outright, so you could pick cover vs upset as well. Maybe I will add that to next week's format. Just trying to keep it spiced up and help my oncoming CRS (cannot remember stuff) affliction. This is good brain exercise for me.

 

[MizzouHawkGal]

Dolphins, Jets, Jags, Steelers, Colts, Patriots, Bucs.

 

[Cartire]

So are we playing ATS now? Or is it still upset victory?

As a non-gambling dude, sorry for my wording. I want to use the spread to determine if you got it right. So yes, Jags lose by 9, you win if you pick them. Am I doing that right? I am a newbie on the whole spread thing.

Plus some have used the word cover and outright, so you could pick cover vs upset as well. Maybe I will add that to next week's format. Just trying to keep it spiced up and help my oncoming CRS (cannot remember stuff) affliction. This is good brain exercise for me.

Hmmmmm, interesting.

Picking to cover and picking to upset, interesting.

Jags, bucs cover.

Titans, chargers for the upset.

 

[VivaEfrenHerrera]

So are we playing ATS now? Or is it still upset victory?

As a non-gambling dude, sorry for my wording. I want to use the spread to determine if you got it right. So yes, Jags lose by 9, you win if you pick them. Am I doing that right? I am a newbie on the whole spread thing...

Well, I'm a non-gambling dude too. However, the game of picking against the spread is way different than picking upsets where the underdog wins outright. Using the spread essentially turns every game into a coin-flip.

But picking underdogs to cover is a fun game too.

 

[MANUNITED23]

Titans, Steelers, Jets, Patriots

 

[Smelly McUgly]

Thanks for putting this all together, by the way, Dr. Diags. This is really fun.

 

[drdiags]

Thanks for putting this all together, by the way, Dr. Diags. This is really fun.

No problem. I just don't want to mess it up. Originally when PE was doing it, he was looking for folks to put themselves out there being able to pick upsets. I don't want to take that away so next week I am going to create the pick to cover and the outright upset columns. I am not sure if it is easier to pick to cover or an outright upset but don't want to make this a hassle for folks, so will try to keep it simple.

 

[MizzouHawkGal]

I was forcused on covering rather than outright upsets in most cases this time.