Hawkpower":bdiua1gg said:
Hawk-Lock":bdiua1gg said:
kearly":bdiua1gg said:
I'm not sure about 3 way tie scenarios, but if Tampa wins out and Seattle loses any of their remaining games, Tampa would own the tiebreaker (Conference record). Tampa does finish against Carolina but Carolina might potentially rest starters. Tampa's other games are all winnable.
I'll be rooting for Tampa to lose one more game before I fully relax in the wildcard race.
But lest say Seattle finishes 3-1, Minnesota finishes 2-2, and Tampa finishes 4-0....They would all be 10-6. That would make Tampa the #5 seed, Seahawks the #6 seed and Minnesota would be out....correct?
Either way it isn't happening. But just a hypothetical. if Carolina is 15-0, you better believe they are going for 16-0.
I wonder about this too, because all three at 10-6 seems like a pretty decent possibility.
It is a decent possibility and here is how it would work out (and it's why Tampa is Seattle's biggest threat in the NFC South).
1. If Tampa wins out, they'd be 10-6 with a whopping 9-3 conference record. That conference record will probably beat anyone's.
2. If Seattle goes 3-1 down the stretch they'd finish 10-6 as well. Our conference record would be either 8-4 or 7-5 depending on where the loss is. Let's assuming the worst and it's a conference loss (either vs Rams or Arizona) and it's 7-5.
3. If either Minny or Green Bay go 2-2 down the stretch (and they play each other so there's at least one loss for either of them), then they'd finish 10-6. Minny has no non-conference games left which means they'd finish with a 7-5 conference record. Green Bay has one non-conf game left (Oakland) and has a current conference record of 6-3. If they go 2-2 down the stretch, they could finish as high as 8-4 conference but more likely 7-5.
So there are two possible three way ties:
1. Seattle, Minny, Tampa
Tampa would take the #5 seed because there is no common head to head tiebreak, and very few common foes (only chicago), so it would come down to conference record, and Tampa's 9-3 would be good enough to take that tiebreak.
That would leave Seattle and Minny and Seattle would take the #6 seed based on head to head and Minny would be on the outside looking in.
HOWEVER
2. Seattle, Green Bay, Tampa
Again for reasons already stated, Tampa would take the #5 seed based on conference record on the three way tiebreak. However, this time Green Bay has the head to head over Seattle, and would take the #6 seed with Seattle on the outside looking in.
This is all the more reason why Seattle fans really want Green Bay to win the North....UNLESS Seattle can somehow swindle back the NFC West.