We would still have to beat the Rams and the Cardinals. Two of our non-wins already this year. Carolina is going to be a very tough game. It's never easy to win in Lambeau against Rodgers. With as inconsistent we have looked this year, I have no idea how we will finish. I think the only "sure" game is the 49ers to end the season, and even they have looked decent the past few weeks.
I'd guess about 10-5-1 but doubt we go any worse.