Sports Hernia
Well-known member
You are right! :th2thumbs:endzorn":3tzbt6d9 said:If we win the rest of our games I think we could finish 12-4.
Sounds like a plan.
You are right! :th2thumbs:endzorn":3tzbt6d9 said:If we win the rest of our games I think we could finish 12-4.
Hawks46":10ymne97 said:"Lesser" team or not, they're playing better, even with a backup QB. They have a ton of momentum, and confidence...not only in a very long win streak, but also in winning the last time they came up here.
MidwestHawker":d5yrkoom said:sedrohawk":d5yrkoom said:care to explain why you think arizona is the lesser team?
Sure.
Inpredictable (betting market analytics): Seahawks rated as 3.1 points better on a neutral field coming into today. That was coming into today and thus doesn't count today's results if they would cause significant market shifts, but it's consistent with the betting spread coming out as Seahawks -6.5 at home this coming week. A line that opened at -6 has actually been bet in the Seahawks' direction by half a point, so the gamblers obviously prefer us by a fair bit.
Football Outsiders DVOA: Seahawks ranked 4th in the league, Cardinals ranked 15th. Again that's subject to change after today's performances, but very unlikely they would close an 11-spot gap.
Advanced NFL Analytics Efficiency Ratings: Seahawks ranked 4th in the league, Cardinals ranked 19th. (Ditto for the DVOA disclaimer except an even wider gap here.)
The Cardinals are a good team with an inflated record. I'm not attempting to say that they're not good; they're just not great, and every reasonable analytic ranking system says that we're somewhat significantly better than they are, particularly the betting market, where 3 points on a neutral field is a pretty wide gap between two squads.
dontbelikethat":ii4m8npq said:That's fine I get it with the stats, but was San Diego the lesser team when we played them, were the Rams the lesser team when we played them, Chiefs maybe? What were their DVOA's or Advanced NFL efficiency ratings? Cowboys didn't seem to have a problem with the HFA.
We're 4th in DVOA? Where are the Raiders? Probably like in the 20's, maybe even 30's? What does it mean that we can only beat a team that is probably 20 spots lower than us in DVOA,etc. by one possession? Can DVOA explain that?
Look DVOA and the advanced stats are great metrics, no doubt about it, but give the Cardinals credit where it's due. It's any given sunday, they're 9-1, controlling the division, and while beating teams we couldn't on the way to that record.
I am, and here's why, Seahawks have egg on their faces, and they're going to come out pissed..........Oh, and Bobby Wagner is supposedly going to be back for this game, and I hope he's feeling 100%davidonmi":3ik5fdzw said:I would think our defense would be able to exploit Stanton, but after watching the defense this week I'm not all that sure
Grahamhawker":834ze15m said:oasis":834ze15m said:I would have predicted a win with Unger in there. Lewis is not going to call the right audibles, line adjustments, etc. Now I doubt we can move the ball against anything above an average D.
Difference today with and without Unger was remarkable- more noticeable when you compare consecutive plays/series rather than games. Wow.