Overseasfan
New member
Luck massively whiffed this year. Most people with a year like that would be more likely to be cut than to get extended. Never mind a big contract.
The reality is that Luck has already proven that he's a baller in college and he has shown that this at least to some degree translates to his pro game. He's also still young and could very well still get a lot better.
The big issue here is that it's a gamble. He could end up like RG3 and Kaep, starting out strong but eventually not even having the starting job. He could be like Stafford or Dalton. An average starting QB. Enough to win you plenty of games, hard to replace but unlikely to bring you post-season succes. Or he could have a season like Cam and Russ had this year and continue to be a top 3 QB for 10+ years like Brady and Manning.
The first option is quite a bit of a stretch. Options B and C or somewhere inbetween is my guess. Also taking the rising cap into account I do expect a top end deal like Rodgers but I don't think paying him much more than that would be wise or realistic
The reality is that Luck has already proven that he's a baller in college and he has shown that this at least to some degree translates to his pro game. He's also still young and could very well still get a lot better.
The big issue here is that it's a gamble. He could end up like RG3 and Kaep, starting out strong but eventually not even having the starting job. He could be like Stafford or Dalton. An average starting QB. Enough to win you plenty of games, hard to replace but unlikely to bring you post-season succes. Or he could have a season like Cam and Russ had this year and continue to be a top 3 QB for 10+ years like Brady and Manning.
The first option is quite a bit of a stretch. Options B and C or somewhere inbetween is my guess. Also taking the rising cap into account I do expect a top end deal like Rodgers but I don't think paying him much more than that would be wise or realistic