West TX Hawk":1adfs4qd said:
If the philosophy is to quickly develop young OL and let them go after their rookie contract, why do they continue to use the complex ZBS which takes years for OL to master?
This is an incredibly salient point. The advantage of the ZBS, is that it can maximize roster inefficiency by making mundane OL talent perform above their ability. Allowing for better retention of lesser talent -- the assumption being they won't be coveted on the open market. Or at the very least allow for teams to routinely stock up on drafted talent late in the draft and develop them. The cost of this scheme being the significant tutoring time required to become efficient with it.
It's important to remember this scheme flourished in the pre-CBA NFL landscape. Indeed even before that -- before as Hutchinson mused, "They're giving me LT money". The entire landscape of OL talent has fundamentally changed since the ZBS was constructed. The precipitous drop in OL talents entering the NFL has altered the efficiency equation.
Right now, I'd argue that the ZBS is currently virtually impossible to employ as it was when it was concocted. And almost all of the natural advantages of the scheme are no longer applicable.
1. Salaries.
Player salaries explode after 4 years. This obliterates the advantage of retaining a unit at less than market price. Seattle has succumbed to the reality that we can't pay our OL. Exactly the opposite of how the scheme is supposed to benefit us.
2. Cohesion and Draft value.
Draftees only provide 1 to 2 years of credible/competent production. We still spend upwards of 24 months to develop players. But because we can't retain them, our 'value' in terms of quality starts relative to draft stock is severely crippled. Instead of allowing teams to retain continuity and supplement the group with late round picks -- we lose continuity and have to burn higher picks to try and reduce the development curve. We aren't paying in second contracts. We're paying in draft capital. And it's no surprise Seattle has spent the highest draft capital in the entire league in the OL group since 2010.
3. Incoming OL talent
The amount of talent on the OL has almost vanished. In particular the depth of talent. But in addition, the intense explosion of schemes at the collegiate (and now high school) level that minimize the risk of poor OL play in order to have winning programs has virtually altered this forever. It's going to get much much worse before it improves. In fact, I expect it will not only fail to improve, but will force the NFL to adjust to the reality and have to mimic some of the same lack of risk elements at the pro level.
I have to wonder aloud how long it'll take before top HS OL talents end up just skipping college altogether and paying for a 3rd party academy to develop skills that the NFL actually desires. It's not hard to assume that a 19 yr. old who spent a full year at something akin to Bentley's O-Line performance academy could be better prepared (skill wise) to play in the NFL than a redshirt junior at the University of Washington. That 19 year old would be working full time, without workout limitations of the NCAA. And would be learning NFL correct skills from day one. Instead of entrenching incorrect, even ruinous habits by pro standards for years in college. And doing so without the risk of game injuries. Of course they'd have to pay out of pocket for such tutelage. I'm speaking only as to the efficacy of the regimen to get a prospect ready for the NFL.
West TX Hawk":1adfs4qd said:
If continuity is truly vital to a line's development, why do we rotate players in and out and up and down the line with such frequency? If continuity is again so important, why sign questionable FAs to 1 year prove-it deals? (And expensive deals at that)
This one is easy. Every team in the NFL does this. With limited roster spots, you need to have guys able to play multiple positions. And with what we can see as a limited number of quality players in the league as a whole, teams may only be 4-6 competent players deep on a roster. So you can't afford to specialize because your backup RG may really be your 8th or 9th best OL player. Your backup RT may be better at RT than your RG backup is at RG.
In addition, with a ZBS, it's vital to understand what the assignments of the guys are next to you. Being versatile in this way makes you better at your primary position.
West TX Hawk":1adfs4qd said:
In short, this team needs to stop being so enamored with OL "versatility"-draft a tackle to play tackle, guard to play guard=quicker development. And drop the ZBS and simplify the system=quicker learning path to OL competency.
While I disagree on the 'throw versatility out with the bath water' approach. I think the case can be made that the ZBS really cannot be implemented how it was originally in the 90s and early 00s. If I'm building a roster and want to establish a ZBS (which btw still works well), then I'm going do so with the full on requirement that I'm doing it with guys who I'm going to keep and I'm going to pay. I'm skimping on other positions (defense, RB and WR) where getting day one ready talents in R2-4 is relatively easy.
ZBS only works if you retain players. The high level of familiarity and training necessary to get it to function properly is a key element to that. I am most interested to see how Pocic's first two seasons go. Because he is a player who really presages that construct. He's a player steeped in the ZBS, with excellent skill levels. Instead of getting raw guys to train, we're getting a guy who is close to ready out of the box. Meaning we should get a full extra year of service out of him. Maybe even two high quality years.
It could mean Seattle starts targetting OL prospects from very select schools. And basically ignoring spread offense OL talents almost entirely.