Seattle Is Opening At -11 Points Favorite

As of right now 4:58PM The Hawks are opened at 11 points favorites.

Seems high to me considering our O and their D. I would've thought about 8. Regardless, there would be no bet from me if I was in Nevada.

I was thinking the same thing 11 seems a bit high for a playoff game.

Seattle usually beats the spread, even when given double digit lines. Last week for example they were favored by 13 and still beat the points spread.

Obviously Vegas is banking on Cam being overwhelmed by his first trip to the Clink.

kearly":1qwmyrm5 said:

Seattle usually beats the spread, even when given double digit lines. Last week for example they were favored by 13 and still beat the points spread.

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Really??

The spreads always seem high to me - I'm reluctant to bet on my own team anyway- and I've never referenced it afterwards but come to think of it that's true. Still seems high, hahaha...

I'm fine not making money and being able to enjoy the game based on pure fandom alone... :th2thumbs:

ELO has Seattle as an 8-point favorite on a neutral site, so when you add in the Vegas bump for homefield that's just about right.

I bet it shifts down to 9.5 once all the degenerate gamblers get a look at it.

We should cover 11. Panther's D is nowhere near the level of the Hawks D no matter how you measure it. So I don't see the Panthers getting more than 10. Our O will get their points at home. In our last 6 games we have played 1 defense worse than Panthers (PPG allowed) that being the Eagles. Cards, 49ers, Rams all have better D than Panthers. The killer part of our schedule has simply primed us for the post season. We will take care of business and cover the current spread, don't be surprised if that spread grows by game time.

seaNOmercy":2p2xwjuw said:

I bet it shifts down to 9.5 once all the degenerate gamblers get a look at it.

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The degenerate gamblers don't move a line a full point and a half. If it gets all the way down to 9.5 then it will be because the sharps love Carolina's side of this current line.

I would strongly guess that this closes as a double-digit line though.

hawk35fan":1j18cgrq said:

Obviously Vegas is banking on Cam being overwhelmed by his first trip to the Clink.

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One of my assertions as well. I truly believe that we broke Kaep.

MidwestHawker":3mm58ewm said:

seaNOmercy":3mm58ewm said:

I bet it shifts down to 9.5 once all the degenerate gamblers get a look at it.

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The degenerate gamblers don't move a line a full point and a half. If it gets all the way down to 9.5 then it will be because the sharps love Carolina's side of this current line.

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Yeah, you're right.

The sharps lead and the gamblers follow. I'd love to hear what they have to say about the current line though, I'd imagine it's tough to book this match up accurately with that many points involved. :?

Oh and I can't accurately quote a quote without putting a line of underscores in because, well - I'm a rookie!! hahaha...

seaNOmercy":22xy6ty6 said:

Yeah, you're right.

The sharps lead and the gamblers follow. I'd love to hear what they have to say about the current line though, I'd imagine it's tough to book this match up accurately with that many points involved. :?

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https://account.sportsinsights.com/spre ... 15&gtype=4

So far it looks like it has moved a bit bigger, to -11.5 in some books. Our lines do seem like they may be more difficult to price in correctly than the lines of other great teams that have the great offense/middling defense combo. Seems difficult to accurately project our offense when it seems somewhat reliant on a few breakout plays during the game.

But I don't really bet sports aside from occasional friendly $5 types of wagers with friends, so the sharps are operating above my head.

the Seahawks must cover their spreads a lot at home, which does not surprise. Therefore they are trying to entice some Carolina betting.

Some people lose track that all a casino/site is trying to do is get 50% of the bets on each side.

I figure that means we have to score 17 to Cover. We got this.

MidwestHawker":3apy8ive said:

seaNOmercy":3apy8ive said:

I bet it shifts down to 9.5 once all the degenerate gamblers get a look at it.

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The degenerate gamblers don't move a line a full point and a half. If it gets all the way down to 9.5 then it will be because the sharps love Carolina's side of this current line.

I would strongly guess that this closes as a double-digit line though.

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Yup. Vegas and the sharps tend to follow trends.

So guess what the trend is for Seattle home games in Prime Time. Anyone ? Bueler ?

Bigpumpkin":sr4ydd5u said:

Is it true that there a millions of dollars bet on the NFL Playoffs?

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More like Billions.