RolandDeschain wrote:Anybody betting on Atlanta to win the division, I request that you look at the final score - and late 4th quarter situations - the Falcons were in last year. They were a handful of plays from having 9 or 10 wins instead of 13, and considering they also had a creampuff schedule, I'm pretty sure they will max out at 11 wins this year. Maybe 9-10. Atlanta nearly lost several games to mediocre or flat-out bad opponents in 2012.
NinerBuff wrote:You could make the same argument for the 2011 Niners... we were 13-3 that year and won a bunch of close games... I see them winning 10 this year, as they regress slightly, but I still think ATL and NO make the playoffs.
RolandDeschain wrote:NinerBuff wrote:You could make the same argument for the 2011 Niners... we were 13-3 that year and won a bunch of close games... I see them winning 10 this year, as they regress slightly, but I still think ATL and NO make the playoffs.
Funny you mention that; I did make that point about the 2011 49ers during that following offseason. I didn't mean it as an insult then, and I don't mean it as one now toward the Falcons, but I bring it up because it's a valid point of discussion. I think the Falcons will make the playoffs as well, but I would be absolutely floored - I mean that literally, my jaw will be on the ground, and everything - if the Falcons manage to get 13 wins again this year. In fact, if I could get 2-1 odds betting against that in Vegas, I would sell my car to make a huge bet. The Falcons only played THREE TEAMS that finished the year with winning records last year. THREE! The Broncos, Giants, and Foreskins. Every other opponent had a losing record except Dallas, which finished 8-8.
In 2013, however, their schedule is tougher. The Saints definitely won't be a losing team again. The Panthers may or may not be. They also have to play the 49ers and Packers on the road, they play the Seahawks in Atlanta, and they play the Rams, Patriots, and Redskins in Atlanta.
13-3-peat? Not on your life. They may still win the division, but they aren't getting 13 wins.
Also, the close calls last year for the Falcons in games they won, but barely: 30-28 over the Panthers, 23-20 over the Raiders, 24-23 over the Bucs, and the wins over the Broncos and Cowboys were both by 6 points. For a team that received (yes, received; not 'earned') the #1 playoff seed in the NFC, they sure weren't very dominant. The 2005 Seahawks that went 13-3 and went to the Super Bowl averaged 28.25 points per game, and that was with a run-based offense. Matt Ryan's passing offense with two elite receivers averaged 26.18 points per game last year, and played all of 3 opponents with winning records. Comparatively, in 2005, the Seahawks faced 5 opponents with winning records that year, including a win over the Colts who were 14-2 that year.
Anybody that wants to tell me how elite the Falcons are can listen to me fall asleep and start snoring, instead.
NinerBuff wrote:Now, their schedule is brutal, probably one of the hardest (other than you guys ) in the league.
RolandDeschain wrote:NinerBuff wrote:Now, their schedule is brutal, probably one of the hardest (other than you guys ) in the league.
I'd like to take this opportunity to say SCREW YOU GUYS and your schedule. A couple 10am games, (the mighty Jaguars and Bucs, man, you guys have no chance at winning those) and all of your difficult opponents at home compared to our five 10am games, and all of our difficult opponents on the road. We get the Saints and Vikings at home, but come on, the Vikings with a regular Adrian Peterson instead of bionic man-AP, and Christian Ponder being Christian Ponder without Percy Harvin, and they're not going to the playoffs this year. (I'm slightly bitter about this, obviously. It feels like the NFL wants to help San Francisco return to the NFCCG/Super Bowl.)
The only two opponents you guys face on the road that will likely have winning records this year are the Foreskins and Saints, and neither is a 10am game. The Seahawks, on the other hand, face the Colts and Texans at 10am for both games in back-to-back weeks, @ Falcons at 10am, and then later on, @49ers at 1pm and then @ Giants at 10am the next week.
Four 10am games against winning opponents. Suck my Johnson, NFL schedulers.
I'll finish by saying one thing; if the Seahawks win the division this year, there will be no excuses or arguments any 49ers fan on the planet can make about it.
NinerBuff wrote:Toss up between ATL and NO, but I don't think any team in that division will be bad, which will mean that there wont be a great record coming out of the NFC South (like last year).
KCHawkGirl wrote:What is he doing that's baf? Obviously I don't follow Tampa Bay so I have no clue why you came to that conclusion.