JZ#1":248ftsof said:
I would say the chances are about 30.0 percent. Which is good compared to past superbowl winners but respects the idea that it is hard for any team to repeat. There are so many unknown variables and we have no idea how the season will turn out. A lot of you guys are forgetting how close the Seahawks got to losing homefield advantage and the division. One play in multiple games easily could of changed the difference. What if we lost to the Rams at home when they were at the goalline with a chance to win? What if Schaub didn't throw the pick 6? What if ET didn't strip Williams and they would of lost the opener to the Panthers? What if the Bucs beat us in OT? Those are four situations/plays alone that went our way and allowed us to lock up the division. Had one of those plays gone differently, very likely Seahawks would not be world champs.
It could be worse though. What if the officials actually called the Bowman rule on the Crabtree fumble? The Niners don't even make the playoffs because AZ would have cleaned their clock at home easily if it meant making the playoffs. What if in the playoffs the officials actually called Boldin for tackling and suplexing Carolina DB's or called either of the head buts against the Niners like they did against Carolina? Again Carolina easily cleans their clock.
You can play the if game all you want but what if Boldin and Crabtree were injured in the NFCC game and Harvin and Rice were healthy? Eww, Scarey thought huh. Yeah 42-13 would have looked like a close game because we would have had our practice squad guys asking to hand a 50 burger on the Niners ass.
What if the Niners could actually keep their players out of the the penitentiary?
Look boy, all you've done is show the Seahawks are winners. Even when the league stacks the schedule to a much more difficult level then the Niners we still had a full two game cushion at the end of the season and if not for a blatently bad call (now known as the Bowman rule) against the Seahawks the division would have been locked up before the AZ or St Louis game and we would have ended the season at minimum a full three games ahead of the San Fran/Santa Clar/ screw it, San Quenton 49ers.
Gee ya really fooled us this time.