look@dafilm":vkejam1d said:
kearly":vkejam1d said:
I thought the 49ers kind of bombed rounds 1 and 2 this year. I thought all three of those prospects were grossly over-rated before the draft. If the 49ers did take McDonald away from us, then we should send Baalke a gift basket. McDonald is a project with stone hands, meanwhile Seattle got Christine Michael who has a very, very bright future and (if I heard correctly) is leading the NFL in rushing this preseason, even though he missed a game.
lol, yes...the 49ers bombed rounds 1 and 2 this year. We got an instant impact starter on a consensus top 5 defense, a player who slipped due to his current injury but by all accounts would have been a 1st rounder if not for said injury, and a TE who is big, fast, athletic, and can make amazing catches with his reach/radius.
The 49ers top 3 picks (our 1st and 2nd round picks) are going to be HUGE contributors.
Reid, Carradine, and McDonald were all drafted 1-2 rounds higher than where I had them after my scouting analysis at Seahawks Draft Blog last preseason, which is a highly respected blog that is frequently referenced by national draft coverage sites, particularly mockingthedraft.com. Okay, Ethos may not be my thing, but I did study a few hundred players last spring (which I have been doing at the blog for 4 draft seasons now) and wrote detailed reports on many dozens of them before draft. Meaning, before they ever became 49ers, in case you are slow on the take.
I thought the Reid pick was pretty desperate, and quite honestly they would have been better off just giving the money to Goldson instead. Solid but unremarkable on tape, I jokingly thought Reid was hyped because he was the only player on LSU's loaded defense who wasn't crazy mistake prone. But in terms of playmaking, coverage, run support, etc, he graded out as a solid 2nd rounder for me.
Never got the hype for Carradine, ever. The "if he were just healthy he'd have 15 sacks" stuff was pretty lame. He was a power bull rusher who sorely lacked speed and didn't even have much of a repertoire. Sure, the power was pretty good, but power is the first thing to vanish when you head to the NFL to face MUCH stronger competition, unless you are a generational freak of nature like Ndamukong Suh or the Gronk. Even power pass rushers like Justin Smith and JJ Watt rely on much, much more than their brute strength to be great NFL players. Lawrence Jackson a ton of power in college too. He's a free agent right now, if you want him. That's how I see Carradine. He's another Lawrence Jackson or Kentwan Balmer. They all went in the same area of the draft, too. Sometimes picks surprise, but if Carradine turns into another Justin Smith it would shock me. It would shock the NFL obviously, given where Carradine was drafted.
Also, he was a pass rusher from Florida State. That alone should give some pause given their history of pass rushers excelling as Seminoles and then bombing in the NFL.
McDonald runs pretty well for his size and that's about where the positives end for me. He was inconsistent as a blocker and dropped a ton of passes. He seemed very unnatural to the position. His QB sucked horribly, but still, he was on a team with essentially no other competition for targets playing a bunch of ultra-scrubs in Conference USA. I am wary of athletes with crummy tape and I am wary of players from small conferences. If you are from a small conference that's fine if you are lighting it up, but that extra jump in difficulty to the NFL does make a difference. If you are from C-USA, you need to be an unstoppable force, which McDonald most definitely was not. His draft legend was built up not from his tape, but from his strong physical traits during a draft season that valued athleticism over polish like none we'd ever seen.
And so far, the return on those early picks hasn't been anything to write home about, while guys on day 3 are saving it, namely Quinton Patton and one of my absolute favorites, BJ Daniels. On day two, I think 3rd rounder Corey Lemonier could be very good as an OLB- he's very similar to Seattle's Bruce Irvin, and Irvin has looked pretty good at OLB so far. There were several other late picks and UDFA I liked a lot. But the early picks, I'd be pissed if we had that much early ammunition and whiffed on overvalued players with each one.
DonnieDarko":vkejam1d said:
Fact is the Niners and Seahawks were both high on this guy and so far in 2 preseason games he has shown nice hands and agility for a big man.
FWIW, we have no idea if Seattle liked McDonald or not. He fits their profile (they aren't afraid of raw players or guys who drop passes), but we can only speculate.