Predict Geno's 2022 Stat Line

[SonicHawk]

Here's a guy who hasn't had a starting position for basically 8 years. Where do you think his final stat line will be for the year?

3200 Yards, 68%, 22 Tds, 13 INT. 2 Rushing TDs

 

[SoulfishHawk]

1950 yards, 59%, 10 Tds, 9 INT. Benched mid season.
(for the record, I want to be VERY wrong so I can look back and laugh at my own doom and gloom Geno prediction)

 

[JayhawkMike]

7 starts. 1-6 record. 8 interceptions. 800 yards passing. 4 TDs. 2 fumbles. A bazillion hand offs.

 

[hawks85]

0-5 record. 10 interceptions. 600 yards passing. 4 TDs. 5 fumbles. Benched, and will never be the starter for any team ever again.

 

[Titus Pullo]

0-4 record, 700 yards passing, 8 TDs, 6 ints, 2 lost fumbles, sacked for 50 yards total.

Benched following embarrassing loss to Detroit.

Save this for future reference.

 

[Jegpeg]

If he plays all season (though quite likely they will give Locke a chance at some point)
330 Completions from 550 attempts 3700yds 22TDs 17 INTs (Passer Rating = 80)

 

[camdawg]

Here's a guy who hasn't had a starting position for basically 8 years. Where do you think his final stat line will be for the year?

3200 Yards, 68%, 22 Tds, 13 INT. 2 Rushing TDs

I think you're pretty close. I'd maybe lower the completion percentage down to 62-63 percent. And maybe give him another TD or two. DK and Lockett will always be threats, and maybe Fant and a healthy Dissly can catch a few TDs too.

 

[SoulfishHawk]

You honestly think Geno Smith will have almost 4000 yards? Quite a reach, but I hope you're right.

 

[Maelstrom787]

Hmm.

If he plays the full season:

3200 yards
69% completion
22 TD
3 rushing TD
9 INT
5 lost Fumbles
47 sacks

 

[Fade]

Anemic. Is my first thought.

Originally I think the plan was to give Geno the 1st month and see how it goes. But Drew Lock is so damn bad, outside of injury I don't expect to see Lock until DEC if at all.

-The Denver game I expect a meh performance, which is good for him. But disappointing if you have any standards.

-The 49er game I expect him to be chewed up and spit out on a short week. That 9er D-Line is no joke, and Geno is going to go into survival mode.

-The Falcon game is a get right game. He should have a really good game here. Almost as good as he played against JAX last year.

-The Lions game back to meh.

-Saints will be a struggle.

-AZ will be a struggle.

-LA Chargers will be a struggle.

-AZ, fairs no better again.

This is where everyone freaks out and the outcry for Lock will be very loud.

Pete ignores this for now because Lock is even worse.

-NYG. back to meh.

-TB, struggle early. Stat pad in the 2nd half.

-Raiders, a good game statistically for him, but the Seahawks are blown out, as they can't stop the Raiders Offense.

-Rams, eat him alive.

-Panthers, Now they make the switch to Lock.


Geno Smith 2022:

12 Starts (3-9 ish)

18 TDs; 12 INTs; 65%; 7.5 YPA; Passer Rating 79.3

With one of the highest 3-n-out %'s in the league.

Fun Fact: Geno Smith has never thrown more than 13 TDs in a season and he started 13 games that year. So I may be pumping him up a little bit here, but I think it's expected given the WRs he's throwing to and the league's softer rules since the last time he was a starter in the NFL.

 

[Maelstrom787]

Anemic. Is my first thought.

Originally I think the plan was to give Geno the 1st month and see how it goes. But Drew Lock is so damn bad, outside of injury I don't expect to see Lock until DEC if at all.

-The Denver game I expect a meh performance, which is good for him. But disappointing if you have any standards.

-The 49er game I expect him to be chewed up and spit out on a short week. That 9er D-Line is no joke, and Geno is going to go into survival mode.

-The Falcon game is a get right game. He should have a really good game here. Almost as good as he played against JAX last year.

-The Lions game back to meh.

-Saints will be a struggle.

-AZ will be a struggle.

-LA Chargers will be a struggle.

-AZ, fairs no better again.

This is where everyone freaks out and the outcry for Lock will be very loud.

Pete ignores this for now because Lock is even worse.

-NYG. back to meh.

-TB, struggle early. Stat pad in the 2nd half.

-Raiders, a good game statistically for him, but the Seahawks are blown out, as they can't stop the Raiders Offense.

-Rams, eat him alive.

-Panthers, Now they make the switch to Lock.


Geno Smith 2022:

12 Starts (3-9 ish)

18 TDs; 12 INTs; 65%; 7.5 YPA; Passer Rating 79.3

With one of the highest 3-n-out %'s in the league.

Fun Fact: Geno Smith has never thrown more than 13 TDs in a season and he started 13 games that year. So I may be pumping him up a little bit here, but I think it's expected given the WRs he's throwing to and the league's softer rules since the last time he was a starter in the NFL.

Your given stats for Geno would put him closer to a 90 passer rating if using a reasonable number of attempts, give or take about 1 point.

 

[CostaRicaHawk]

3500 yards
73% completion
29 TD
9 INT

10-7

 

[Cyrus12]

5800 yards passing
1000 yds rushing
52 td/4 int
Pro bowler
Super Bowl Champion

We can dream right?

 

[Rat]

Bad and then benched. He'll blame it on something other than being bad.

 

[toffee]

Did a spreadsheet on Geno, if he could be 80% as efficient as his 3.5 games in 2021, and 50% more INTs, we will still do alright:

	Games	Pass Attempts	Completion	%	Passing yards	Average	TD	INT
2021	3.5	95	65	68.42%	702	7.39	5	1
100%	17	461	316	68.42%	3410	7.39	24	5
90%	17	415	253	60.82%	3069	7.39	22	7
80%	17	369	221	59.87%	2728	7.39	19	7

IF he could be 100% as efficient as his 2021 campaign, he will be 24TD, 5INT, and 3410 yards. He was highly graded by PFF in 2021, remember Pete/Waldron throttled back on plays and he was stone cold with layers of rust; but none game planned against him. This season, every DC will game plan against him.

On the other hand, our OL has improved, especially pass prop, same WR1 and WR2, RBs corp improved, TEs more or less the same, Geno has more time with first team. Can he be as efficient as 2021? One sure hope so, if he could, we may not win tons of games, but we will be in every game and not be embarrassed. In those 3.5 games, every game was very tight, and we could have won all of them.

 

[Rat]

Did a spreadsheet on Geno, if he could be 80% as efficient as his 3.5 games in 2021, and 50% more INTs, we will still do alright:

	Games	Pass Attempts	Completion	%	Passing yards	Average	TD	INT
2021	3.5	95	65	68.42%	702	7.39	5	1
100%	17	461	316	68.42%	3410	7.39	24	5
90%	17	415	253	60.82%	3069	7.39	22	7
80%	17	369	221	59.87%	2728	7.39	19	7

IF he could be 100% as efficient as his 2021 campaign, he will be 24TD, 5INT, and 3410 yards. He was highly graded by PFF in 2021, remember Pete/Waldron throttled back on plays and he was stone cold with layers of rust; but none game planned against him. This season, every DC will game plan against him.

On the other hand, our OL has improved, especially pass prop, same WR1 and WR2, RBs corp improved, TEs more or less the same, Geno has more time with first team. Can he be as efficient as 2021? One sure hope so, if he could, we may not win tons of games, but we will be in every game and not be embarrassed. In those 3.5 games, every game was very tight, and we could have won all of them.

How many home games against the Urban Meyer's Jags do we have this year?

 

[SoulfishHawk]

that just happened ^

 

[sdog1981]

3500 yards
73% completion
29 TD
9 INT

10-7

Uhh what? Those are elite numbers if he put up those numbers the team would be like 12-5 or 13-4.

 

[Titus Pullo]

Did a spreadsheet on Geno, if he could be 80% as efficient as his 3.5 games in 2021, and 50% more INTs, we will still do alright:

	Games	Pass Attempts	Completion	%	Passing yards	Average	TD	INT
2021	3.5	95	65	68.42%	702	7.39	5	1
100%	17	461	316	68.42%	3410	7.39	24	5
90%	17	415	253	60.82%	3069	7.39	22	7
80%	17	369	221	59.87%	2728	7.39	19	7

IF he could be 100% as efficient as his 2021 campaign, he will be 24TD, 5INT, and 3410 yards. He was highly graded by PFF in 2021, remember Pete/Waldron throttled back on plays and he was stone cold with layers of rust; but none game planned against him. This season, every DC will game plan against him.

On the other hand, our OL has improved, especially pass prop, same WR1 and WR2, RBs corp improved, TEs more or less the same, Geno has more time with first team. Can he be as efficient as 2021? One sure hope so, if he could, we may not win tons of games, but we will be in every game and not be embarrassed. In those 3.5 games, every game was very tight, and we could have won all of them.

Subtract the stats from the 1-16 Jaguars game.

 

[toffee]

How many home games against the Urban Meyer's Jags do have this year?

Rams:
we were down 9 points when Geno took over, we lost by 10 points.
Geno led a most exciting 98 yards drive for a TD to close the gap. We were driving to take the lead when Lockett was either push or slipped, the INT was unfortunate, the throw was an anticipatory throw down the middle, and didn't cause the INT.

Steelers:
we lost by 3 points in OT,
Geno's first start in gosh 7 years?
23/32, 165 yards, 1 TD/0 INT, his fumble was untimely.

Saints:
We lost again by 3 points when our kicker missed 2 kicks?
Geno was 12/24, 167 yards, 1 TD/0 int.
I don't think Geno cost us the game, do you?

Jaguar: we won.

Geno didn't win us lots of games, but he didn't embarrass himself or the team. His 2021 season grade of 70.3 was the same as Wilson's 2021 grade.