kearly":2j94ghis said:
Pete has won us a lot of games before with conservative decisions in these exact kinds of situations. And it's not just Pete, going for the safe yardage on 3rd and 19 or avoiding a suicidal 4th down with plenty of time left on the clock in a one score game is NFL coaching 101.
Although I appreciate and respect your positive outlook/analysis I do disagree with some of what you and others have said in support of our Offensive play calling and decisions. Considering Lynch had 6 carries compared to the Chargers running the ball 37 times... we made no attempt to help our defense stay off the scorching hot field by slowing the game down with our dominant run game.
I think we called a very poor game offensively and although 7.2 Yards Per Play sounds great we must remember it was against the Chargers and their defense is terrible. The Cardinals went 6.2 Yards Per Play against the Chargers in Week 1 which is higher than what we would of had if you just subtract that one play where Harvin stepped out of bounds (we would of had 6.1 Yards Per Play if that play was simply erased from the records).
However the Cardinals ran the ball 26 times allowing them to win the time of possession against the Chargers even though they lost the turnover battle 2-1. I don't see any reason why we couldn't run the ball as well to make at least a slight attempt to keep our Defense off the field when they were mightily struggling all day.
I don't want to get too much more into the details but I think statistically we would of had a much higher chance to win the game going for it on 4th and 2 considering the Chargers had 24 First Downs at that point. We had a less than 50% chance to prevent the Chargers from scoring a Field Goal based on how the game went (they scored on 6/10 drives overall). Even if we did get the ball back it was unlikely to be on the 36 yard line which I consider pretty good field position compared to where we ended up on the 11 yard line.
Last season the Seahawks converted 6/11 (54%) of 4th downs even though our Offensive Line had a bunch of backups and Harvin was injured.
Last season the Broncos converted 8/9 (89%) of 4th downs. The Chargers were over 83%, the Panthers were almost 77%, Packers 69%, Cowboys 67%...
http://www.sportingcharts.com/nfl/stats/4th-down-efficiency/2013/
If you guys really don't think we could convert a 4th and 2 when we have arguably 3 of the best offensive play makers in the league (Wilson, Harvin, Lynch) when the Carolina Panthers went 10/13 on 4th down last season???
That's just sad how little faith some of you have in our offense, if our Defense was playing well I could totally understand but they were getting spanked. I think if you just took all the previous statistics from how this game had went up till that point we would have a MUCH higher chance to win the game going for it on 4th and 2 than punting. We weren't gonna get a better opportunity than that unless we got extremely lucky, and we didn't this time.
I am fairly certain that Wilson was crushed by not getting a chance to win the game on that 4th and 2, punting it back in a game where our Defense was getting owned all day when we are nearly mid field with amazing play makers at our disposal???
All of this is really good discussion though, I just wanted to throw in my opinion for our offense here.