Tical21":2reueaof said:
@Fade, the most intriguing part of this post so far, to me, has been the discussion about Rodgers.
If Russell can't be considered elite primarily because he holds the ball too long and misses critical windows against zone coverage, can we then say Rodgers is not elite because he holds the ball even longer?
To be honest, I have never studied Rodgers on tape. My guess is that he holds the ball for different reasons than Russell, but it is a pretty interesting thought. TBF, I hold Rodgers in lower esteem than most do. He is an absolute god talent-wise, but he doesn't put it together often enough for me or win enough games. They're 4-5 far too often, and usually without horrible rosters.
Brees goes 7-9 all the time. And I think he is one of the all-time greats.
Where most of these casual fans lose track is they want to make everything a 1 to 1 comparison.
What I am more interested in is how can a guy perform, when you take things away from him. The degree of difficulty.
The systems, and O-lines these QBs play in can have a wild impact on their play.
Goff & Trubisky prove my point resoundingly. So if you believe a QB can be helped by systems & O-line? Can't QBs be hindered by them as well? The answer is yes.
Matt Ryan & Andrew Luck prove it, really any QB you find proves it. When you dive into their numbers the years they get the best O-Line play, they have their best seasons.
The true greats find a way to maintain their production, and get it done regardless. Wilson is in that category irrefutably.
Roethisberger is a fraud as an example.
Top defenese, top O-Lines, top offensive coaching, top skill players. He has been handed everything. The lowest degree of difficulty. And he can't get the Steelers back to the big game? Fraud.
Give Wilson all of that season after season, and he would have a cabinet full of trophies. Rivers, Brees, etc as well.
Wilson has been playing in the opposite side of the spectrum offensively (-minus defense). A super high degree of difficulty.
So if Big Ben is elite, then Russell Wilson is elite. Wilson has outproduced him while being placed in an impossible, unsustainable situation for 50ish games. This in no small sample size here.
When you look at the bottom portion of the elite tier. Ryan, Luck. Newton. These guys crumble behind bad O-Lines. Wilson bodies them, and then puts up numbers right there with many players that people consider the GOAT's of the sport.
The most underrated player in Seattle sports history.
On to Rodgers he is actually very similar to Wilson in terms of style of play. They love to hold the ball and extend plays looking for the home run downfield. Missing checkdowns and wideopen players underneath. When it works fans cheer, when it doesn't well Wilson held the ball too long, not elite, he can't see. With Rodgers it's let's make every excuse in the book for him.
It's hard to grade out who is actually worse at holding the ball because. Wilson's lines have been so bad that it doesn't hurt their DVOA protection rating that bad.
While Rodgers kills the great O-Lines he has had by holding the ball.
2017
Wilson: Oline PFF = 25, DVOA Protection = 25
Rodgers Oline PFF = 5, DVOA Protection = 28
Wilson & Rodgers are the two hardest great QBs to block for. But to get an accurate comparison we need Seattle's O-Line play to get into the top 10. Regardless I wouldn't care anyway because Wilson's numbers would explode, due to how elite he is if he ever found himself with a top 10 O-Line.
I am too lazy to re-pull up the numbers on Brees & Brady. But they obviously help their lines. It is a style of play choice.
And yes Wilson needs to improve in this area, I am not absolving him of it.
Just pointing out even other elite guys don't get the ball out quickly, you cannot have a double standard.
Rodgers loses because he has a horrible attitude, and struggles with adversity. He is amazing beating up on tomato cans, but put another elite QB in front of him, and he usually wilts in the clutch. He is something like 0-34 when trailing against a winning team in the 4th qtr.
He has had good teams around him as well. The defenses have been a problem in years past, but that is not the case this year. The Packers defense leads the league in sacks. They have a top Oline, with a great mix of skill players, and a good young runningback. Yet he can't manage a winning record? LOL.
Rodgers also has a horrible career record on the road.
These guys have worts. They are not as great as the media tells you they are. Put them under the microscope and you will see.