kearly
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Some interesting splits to consider for Wilson's 2015 season. Times they are a changin'.
Russell Wilson, pass attempts per game:
2012-2014: 26.1
2015, pre-bye: 26.0
2015, post-bye: 35.9
Wilson's post bye attempts rate would equal 574 pass attempts over 16 games. To put that number in perspective, it would be slightly more pass attempts than Andrew Luck threw in 2013. And here are what Wilson's post bye numbers would look like if prorated over a 16 game season (passing numbers only):
574 attempts, 65.6 completion rate, 8.2 YPA, 4716 yards, 52 TDs, 9 INT
What's interesting to me is that Wilson's completion rate and YPA actually dropped a little in the second half of the season. Wilson's interception rate improved, but not much thanks to two weird playoff games. The two big differences, and they are BIG differences, are Wilson's total attempts and TD rate. Wilson was also dramatically better on 3rd down and in the red zone after switching to spread heavy offense. Also, there's this:
Wilson's passer rating in games where Thomas Rawls led the team in RB carries: 129.7
Wilson's passer rating In all other 2015 games: 94.3 (this includes Wilson's 139.6 rated performance against Baltimore which Rawls started)
What's interesting about these numbers is that the boost from the spread shift impacts them equally: half of the Rawls' games were post-bye, and half of the non-Rawls games were post-bye. The non-Rawls games are hindered a bit by three ugly games with poor game conditions near the end of the season, so the gap is probably exaggerated a bit. But still, Wilson's numbers go through the roof with Rawls, including a huge jump in completion percentage (73.3% with Rawls).
Now before anybody gets TOO excited, we could have looked at Wilson's 2nd half numbers in 2012 and gotten very excited about the offense in 2013. The offense in 2013 was good, but not as amazing as it was in the 2nd half of 2012. The reason being, the NFL was not ready for the read option in 2012, but it was better equipped to stop it the next season. In a similar way, opponents will have the offseason to game plan for Seattle as a spread heavy team and that will dim the numbers some.
All that said, it seems like Seattle is on the cusp of a sensational offense going into 2016, and that's not getting into the chances of an improved OL or the return of Graham / Richardson or Wilson being coached into a larger role in commanding the offense.
Next year is going to be a lot of fun.
Russell Wilson, pass attempts per game:
2012-2014: 26.1
2015, pre-bye: 26.0
2015, post-bye: 35.9
Wilson's post bye attempts rate would equal 574 pass attempts over 16 games. To put that number in perspective, it would be slightly more pass attempts than Andrew Luck threw in 2013. And here are what Wilson's post bye numbers would look like if prorated over a 16 game season (passing numbers only):
574 attempts, 65.6 completion rate, 8.2 YPA, 4716 yards, 52 TDs, 9 INT
What's interesting to me is that Wilson's completion rate and YPA actually dropped a little in the second half of the season. Wilson's interception rate improved, but not much thanks to two weird playoff games. The two big differences, and they are BIG differences, are Wilson's total attempts and TD rate. Wilson was also dramatically better on 3rd down and in the red zone after switching to spread heavy offense. Also, there's this:
Wilson's passer rating in games where Thomas Rawls led the team in RB carries: 129.7
Wilson's passer rating In all other 2015 games: 94.3 (this includes Wilson's 139.6 rated performance against Baltimore which Rawls started)
What's interesting about these numbers is that the boost from the spread shift impacts them equally: half of the Rawls' games were post-bye, and half of the non-Rawls games were post-bye. The non-Rawls games are hindered a bit by three ugly games with poor game conditions near the end of the season, so the gap is probably exaggerated a bit. But still, Wilson's numbers go through the roof with Rawls, including a huge jump in completion percentage (73.3% with Rawls).
Now before anybody gets TOO excited, we could have looked at Wilson's 2nd half numbers in 2012 and gotten very excited about the offense in 2013. The offense in 2013 was good, but not as amazing as it was in the 2nd half of 2012. The reason being, the NFL was not ready for the read option in 2012, but it was better equipped to stop it the next season. In a similar way, opponents will have the offseason to game plan for Seattle as a spread heavy team and that will dim the numbers some.
All that said, it seems like Seattle is on the cusp of a sensational offense going into 2016, and that's not getting into the chances of an improved OL or the return of Graham / Richardson or Wilson being coached into a larger role in commanding the offense.
Next year is going to be a lot of fun.