I think it is fair to call this a close contest right now.
The Patriots are mentally tougher than the Broncos were last season and we're not going to win just because we show up and play physical football. They've faced adversity this season just like we have.
Additionally, you have to go all the way back to our November 9th outing against the Giants to find a game in which our offense did not sputter for at least one or two quarters. It hasn't hurt us because of how well our defense is playing but this game will be tough to win if it is one of those instances where the offense takes multiple quarters off.
Finally, I think there is a reasonable chance with our injury situation and lack of depth that Blount could get going and keep the Patriots offense on the field. I'm not worried about giving up explosive plays as much as I am getting off the field if we let them have manageable third downs.