nanomoz":2du9f2wm said:
How often do teams trade into the last spot in the first?
It seems like teams that want somebody that fell usuallt try to get to the mid 20's.
I understand what you're talking about in terms of teams trading up in the first round to get what they think is an elite prospect that slid out of the top 10 or 15. But, the end of the first round picks... it's more like getting ahead of the top of the 2nd round murderers row of teams getting prospects that might have been projected on a teams' board in the first.
The draft is a fluid thing. Go with this for a second: If Houston doesn't take a QB in the first (whether with that first pick or trading down a few spots), they may be looking at the top of the second. If a team is enamored with... say an A.J. McCarron... or if Derek Carr or Teddy Bridgewater happen to slide and are still available - it would be a strategic move to get ahead of Houston to ensure getting their guy.
There are QB needy teams that may not take one with their current 1st round picks. So, this is a great year to be sitting at that 32 spot. It's nothing necessarily attractive about it being the last spot of the 1st round. It's just the lineup of teams that probably WONT be trading their picks at the top of the 2nd round in order to reap the benefits of this deep talent pool of players - that might very well be 1st round talent into the top of the 2nd. That's arguably the case often, but perhaps more so this draft.
QB isn't the only position, either. That was merely just one example of how it could happen regardless of how often (or not) teams trade into the last spot. But, it's a rather important position on a football team and there is interest in perhaps a "2nd Tier" of intriguing QB's (McCarron, Mettenberger, Savage, etc.)
Quite simply, there are several factors that would lead to such a trade and it's not difficult to imagine. It's the game of get ahead of the other team if you want your guy.