Sorry, I'll definitely respond to the rest of your post in-depth (later today). But you hit me with a fascinating analysis of Pete being 15th in payoff record since our last Superbowl, and I had to dig in. Feel free to let me know if I missed any major coaches. My brain does not work as well as it used to, but I think I've got most of them.Spin Doctor":empk3gp4 said:There are 15 Head Coaches that have a better playoff record than Pete Carroll since our last Super Bowl win, 15. Nobody has lost more playoff games in that time period than Pete Carroll. We keep losing because of the same reasons as well. Running conservative schemes that allow the other team to run up the score. When we finally let the reigns loose on Wilson we have too big of a deficit to overcome. It's been the story since 2015.knownone":empk3gp4 said:I could not agree more. The more I've learned about Russell's comments and the staging of the events leading up to them, the more I see why the front office would be upset. Russell is making the narrative entirely about him while subversively attacking the legacy and credibility of the organization. This has been a model franchise since Allen took over. Pete Carroll is one of the greatest coaches of all time. John Schneider is among the most respected and successful GM's in the NFL. Yet, Russ basically went on live television and talked as if he'd been in Detroit the past 10 years.
Russ always talks about wanting to be like Jeter, but it's starting to look like his legacy in Seattle could end up looking like Arod.
Wins(W) - Loss(L) - Total Games(G) - Appearances(A) - Potential Appearances (PA)
Pete Carroll: 3-5-8-5-6
Sean Payton: 3-4-7-4-6
Sean McVay: 3-3-6-3-4
Andy Reid: 7-5-12-6-6
Mike Tomlin: 3-4-7-4-6
John Harbaugh: 1-3-4-3-6
Doug Pederson: 4-2-6-3-5
Kyle Shanahan: 2-1-3-1-4
Matt Lefluer: 2-2-4-2-2
Mike Zimmer: 2-2-4-3-6
Bill Belichick: 9-3-12-5-6
Sean McDermott: 2-3-5-3-4
Bruce Arians: 5-1-6-2-5
Mike Vrabel: 2-2-4-2-3
One obvious thing that stands out is that making the playoffs dramatically impacts your overall record. So while Pete has a worse % than many coaches, he's also played in the 3rd most games during that stretch. Furthermore, the two guys ahead of him have played in more home games.
Playoff home games: W/L
Carroll: 3/1
Belichick: 5/1
Reid: 5/4
Here's where things get interesting. If we take Brady out of the mix and adjust for teams with QBs not on rookie contracts, your top 5 coaches' rankings look like this.
Playoffs record w/o TB12 and QBs on rookie contracts: W/L/A
Pete Carroll: 3/5/5
Mike Tomlin: 3/4/4
Sean Payton: 3/4/4
Mike Zimmer: 2/2/3
Matt Lefleur: 2/2/2
In conclusion, when you ignore the GOAT and adjust for rookie contracts, all other things being equal, Pete Carroll is the most consistent coach in the league in terms of making the playoffs and winning in them. If you include Brady he's 3rd.