It's a close game that I would probably have us winning 6/10 times. Maybe 50/50. Our offense is miles better than Denver's, while Denver's defense is better than ours, but not by a ton.
People are saying that Denver's pass rush would annihilate our OL and at times it would. Thing is, I think we run on their DL better than we could on Carolina's.
Football is a game of individual matchups. Denver matched up perfectly on Carolina's offense, while the reverse was mostly true as well. The Panthers are strong up the middle, but their Tackles are weak. Denver's main strength is their edge rush. Newton had no time to throw, and he's not great in those situations.
Pressure up the middle is what has doomed us all year. Our Tackles are better than Carolina's. I'm not saying Gilliam stones Miller, but he does a sight better than the Panthers' RT, and GIlliam is athletic enough to force Miller out a bit wider. Wilson only needs a few opportunities to make some big plays, and he's used to avoiding the rush with our poor OL. How many times have we seen a crappy and inconsistent game from our offense, but Wilson makes a few impact plays and it's the difference? Newton was kept clean for most of the year and wasn't used to it.
On the other side, Okung has played well against Ware, going back to Ware's Cowboys days when he was younger. I don't think he gets owned nearly as bad as the Panthers' LT.
Lastly, I think our WR's are going to play better than Carolina's did. Baldwin has had good games against Talib and has really upped his game this year. Lockett on the other side also is a bit of a mismatch. I like Harris and he's a good CB, but Lockett moved into the slot is a mismatch on most CB's right now. I'm not saying our WR's dominate, especially with limited time against that pass rush, but they'll do better than Carolina's, and Talib has shown a bit of a weakness to quicker WR's like Baldwin and Lockett.
The short of it is, if we played our best game and Denver played their best game, our talent on offense is so much better that I see the difference there. The Panthers basically shut the Broncos offense down, and I'd see us doing the same thing.