bmorepunk":p1saa3sk said:
Bosa's leverage is only that the Chargers may have wasted a third pick overall. But even this high up in the draft it's a crapshoot and he may never output anything close to where he's drafted. It's not a high probability.
The team's leverage is that Bosa will not get paid at all this year then have to re-enter the draft and miss out on money as well as probably getting drafted much lower and getting even less money. This result for them (not getting the player) is the same outcome as him not panning out (which is a reasonable possibility).
What Bosa and his agent are doing here has an extremely low probability of being beneficial to him. I get that people want to be "principled" but this is ultimately about money. If he really wants good money at a high probability, he should have just sucked it up and signed.
That's kind of short term thinking though.
Here's the other side of the coin. If you expect to be a valuable player capable of getting a second deal (which any top 5 overall pick should), then you're not simply angling for your first year money. You're more concerned with your possible second contract.
If the Chargers are willing to make this kind of low ball offer -- and couple that with similar structured deals for their veterans -- then there is the very real scenario where if Bosa signs, then he's basically under club control for up to 7 years with a club that has shown very little regard to how it compensates it's players.
If that's the case -- then Bosa could be better off not signing at all and take his chances with another club drafting him.
I don't know Bosa's financial situation. Maybe his family is well off. Or he's comfortable enough that he would sacrifice a full year of earning potential in order to go to a better organization that will be more conducive to helping him achieve his career and salary goals when it's time for his second contract.
There's a reason that SD has difficulty attracting UFA talent. They are a shabbily run organization. One in near constant turmoil and bleeds talent year after year as soon as players have the chance to leave. It's not altogether a bad option to simply sit the year out if the monetary cost up front is something you can absorb.
Take the Bruce Irvin situation. Bruce was a very good player. Seattle let him go UFA after 4 years. He ended up on the open market and received more (both APY, guarantees and length) than had his 5th year been exercised. SD is an organization that is bad. It wouldn't be out of place that they'd be both in a position to, as well as predisposed philosophically -- to utilize mechanisms available to prevent Bosa from reaching the open market for as long as possible.
It may be about money today. But it's also about the kind of organization SD is presenting for the next 6 years. That goes beyond just this year.
ukeface:
