dopeboy206":3i2v27f7 said:
kearly":3i2v27f7 said:
I respect the Cardinals as an organization, but...
This is a team that had disguised regression last season, dropping nearly 3 wins in football outsiders 'estimated wins' metric from their number in 2013. Any Cardinals fan who watched that team knew the 2013 version was better, even though it won one fewer game.
At one point the Cardinals were 9-1 but had the DVOA of a .500 or worse team. People point to injuries, but even when healthy and winning, they were one of the biggest overachievers in recent memory.
It wasn't until the final game of the season that the Cardinals lost a game decided by one score. They finished 5-1 in such games. In all other games, they were 6-5 with a mediocre point differential.
I think they are a threat in the sense that anything is possible and they are 'good enough'. But I think they'd need to win almost every close game and have Seattle lose almost every close game to pull it off. I'd give that maybe a 10% chance of happening.
I think this year's Cardinal's team is better. Just giving credit where it's due, you should do the same.
It was an old post, and I'm inclined to agree with him, plus what Kip said about the Cards having to win the close ones and us lose them this year has been pretty spot on. And his estimate of 10% might even have been a bit conservative, I mean, what odds would you have got on us throwing away all those 4th quarter leads!?
It ain't over yet, but I'm happy being the wildcard, Clink ain't the fortress it was, though I'd still rather face Green Bay there than in Lambeau. I'm not sure most Cards fans will necessarily admit it, but right now we're the team they don't want to face in the play-offs.