Scottemojo":58mj4jrn said:
Trying to make a coaches results in in college translate to the NFL, a proclivity for losing big games, etc, is just about impossible. Saban sucked in the NFL, rocks in college. Saban is a master recruiter and runs great schemes, but his players aren't always very fundamental. Kirk Ferentz is mediocre in college, and will continue to be, but would be great in the NFL because of his fundamentals teaching. He just can't get speed at Iowa, and won't.
Kelly will be very good, IMO, because he teaches fundamentals and values speed. He is to offense as Pete is to defense. Pete has made the Hawks multiple, the Hawks can matchup with a power block scheme one week, a ZBS scheme the next, and a spread offense the week after that. The Eagles can similarly exploit matchups on a week to week basis with their offense. They can go 5 wide or 3 tight ends, whatever they need to do that week they can do.
On top of that, they have McCoy and one of the 3 best offensive line in the NFL.
If I had to identify a weakness, that offense is not built to be patient of punishing beyond a couple of the offensive linemen. If they get the ball with 6 minutes and a 1 point lead, I don't think they can run the clock. And if they are ina game where they just plain need to keep their defense off the field, they can't do it.
I agree with most of what you said, actually, but your last paragraph dances around my main point (I would argue that a running offense like the Eagles should be able to hold a lead; Kelly did it at Oregon). Chip Kelly is an innovator, there is no doubt (I did draft LeSean McCoy in Fantasy last year for a reason,) and one who does an excellent job of making the game easy for his players. But the dirty side of that is: he's shown now bias towards toughness through adversity, and it has shown. When his teams have gotten punched in the mouth, they've folded. (I probably could have pointed to the regular season failings against teams like LSU, to back this up. The postseason comments stemmed from the topic at hand.) This is my concern for him, because I am rooting for his success. But I've seen the major blind spot, and that blind spot will definitely translate to postseason failure in the NFL when the flags are thrown less and the play becomes more physical.
Again, there is no doubt Kelly is a fantastic RB/QB/O-line developer. Brilliant. That's why I wanted Seattle to get him for O-coordinator. He's already influenced Carroll (the faster part of Bigger, Stronger, Faster, Louder), I'm guessing. However, his drafts don't make me think he's changing his view on how to build an NFL defense or run a stoic offense which laughs in the face of adversity. Maybe he does, and I'm (gladly) wrong, but it is necessary to implement the toughness through adversity if he doesn't want his Eagles to be another....well..... Eagles (Andy Reid). Furthermore, I believe you can prognosticate based on the philosophy a coach brings - hence the joy of getting Pete Carroll on this very board. (Saban is apparently a ratfink, and it makes sense he'd flunk out of the NFL with the dictator philosophy.) Carroll wanted to innovate with toughness and physicality, and it worked, correct? Kelly needs to learn from his fellow Pac 10 coach, or he's going to get booed by Philly fans and run out of town much the same way as his predecessor.