What if Earl is right?
What if Earl is worth more not playing than he is playing right now?
It's easy to say, "Show up and prove your worth. If you're worth it, you'll get paid next season" or "You've made so much already, the difference is negligible compared to the bad will you're building up." But what if he's doing exactly the right thing?
I don't know this to be true, but think about how that might be the case:
If Earl truly believes his success is mostly a result of the other players around him, he'd be absolutely correct in not stepping on the field until he gets a new contract. Now that Kam and Sherm are gone, he'll have to be individually responsible for his play. If he feels like that will result in poorer performance, he's absolutely correct in trying to get a new deal as a reflection of his past performance. In addition, the FO is absolutely correct in waiting him out. The question then becomes how much less does he think he's worth as an individual. If that margin is large, he really should wait until any team is desperate for Safety help and that team assumes he can be of value without the rest of the LOB. ... and sign for whatever he can get guaranteed. That would result in a much better deal than him showing up and performing poorly.
We're all looking at this assuming that Earl is being a diva and thinks he's worth Eric Berry money. If that were the case, it really is in his best interest to show up and play to prove it. ... and maybe that's really what's going on. On the other hand, if he expects to see a big drop off in his play (for whatever reason, but the most obvious is Kam and Sherm being gone) and therefore he knows he's not worth Eric Berry money, but still wants as much as possible, it's in his best interest to wait and negotiate a deal with as much as possible guaranteed. Then he plays with plenty of reasonable excuses why there's a drop-off and he eventually rides off into the sunset.
Obviously that's all just thinking out loud. However, if his next contract includes less in incentives and more guaranteed it'll prove to be true. If he signs a deal like Sherm's with the 9rs, we'll know that this post was not worth the time it took to read it....