Did you forget /sarcasm?
UW’s offense is a half field, one read, paint by the numbers system.
Penix is an interesting prospect given the arm talent and success, however, no denying the system drives his numbers and he doesn’t look unstoppable vs a solid defense.
Heisman hype aside, I’m seeing a R2-3 prospect at best. A combination of age, injury history, and frankly odd release mechanics push the risk factor outside R1.
I'll admit, I'm no expert. Definitely not an NFL scout.
Here is what I have observed:
•Numerous analysts, commentators, etc. have all referred to Washington's offense as an "NFL offense". Maybe they're all wrong. I don't know.
•I don't see Penix staring down his first read all the time. I see him scanning the field. I see him looking off defenders. If he's throwing to his first read a lot, it's probably open.
•I see Penix throwing the ball with great accuracy. 69.4% is pretty damn good, IMO, especially considering how far the ball is traveling in the air on his throws vs dink-n-dunks.
•I see Penix throwing the ball with a quick release. Even on long throws. Very little wind up. The ball comes out quickly.
•I see Penix avoiding sacks, abillity to roll out of the pocket and deliver accurate balls on the run. Watch the 3rd and 18 play he did against USC, for example.
This is what Penix does in most games. He has had a few bad games, yes. Those are concerning. Seems to have slightly more batted balls than most college QBs. However, part of it is him trying to get the ball out and avoid taking a sack, which is a good thing.
You say he doesn't look unstoppable vs a good defense? Yes, there have been defenses that have had success against him. What about Oregon, though? Everyone keeps saying they have the best defense in the conference. "An SEC defense". What did Penix do? 4 touchdowns, 1 int (that wasn't his fault), 300+ yards, and 60% completion percentage.
Honestly, I hope you're right. I hope the "system" is what drives his numbers. I hope that Washington will be putting up these kinds of offensive numbers for the next 20 years of Deboer's tenure. Just plug in any "good, but not great" QB into the system, and voila, explosive offense. I really do hope you're right.